Ligue 2 Title Chances 2013-2014

														100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title											Promoted to Ligue 1			Chance will finish season at seed																						Down to National
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Metz	75		22	-	9	-	6	27	Yes		Yes			100																				1.0		No			1	.650	FC Metz
Caen	63		18	-	9	-	10	21	No		97.7	%	-1.3		61	37	2																	2.4		No			3	.554	Stade Malherbe de Caen
Lens	62		16	-	14	-	7	16	No		90.0		-6.6		37	53	10																	2.7	-0.09	No			2	.546	RC Lens

Nancy	60		16	-	12	-	9	10	No		12.3		+10.1		1	11	74	14																4.0	+0.59	No			5	.530	AS Nancy-Lorraine
Niort	58		15	-	13	-	9	7	No		No		-2.2				14	57	29															5.1	-0.61	No			4	.514	Chamois Niortais FC
Dijon	56		14	-	14	-	9	11	No		No							29	66	5														5.8	+0.58	No			6	.498	Dijon FCO
Brest	53		14	-	11	-	12	3	No		No								5	54	23	17												7.5	+0.75	No			9	.474	Stade Brestois 29
Tours	52		14	-	10	-	13	4	No		No									24	41	24	9	2										8.2	+0.84	No			8	.466	Tours FC
Angers	52		13	-	13	-	11	0	No		No									16	35	38	8	3										8.5	-1.47	No			7	.466	Angers SCO
Troyes	49		14	-	7	-	16	9	No		No										1	12	46	39	2									10.3	+1.21	No			14	.442	ES Troyes AC
Créteil	49		12	-	13	-	12	-1	No		No										1	8	37	50	5									10.5	+1.02	No			10	.442	US Créteil-Lusitanos
Arles-Avignon	46		10	-	16	-	11	-1	No		No												0	6	41	34	16	2						12.7	-1.25	No			11	.418	AC Arles-Avignon
Le Havre	45		10	-	15	-	12	-1	No		No														44	31	20	5	0					12.9	-0.33	No			12	.410	Le Havre AC
Clermont-Ferrand	45		10	-	15	-	12	-4	No		No														9	24	48	18	2					13.8	-1.35	No			13	.410	Clermont Foot
Nîmes	43		10	-	13	-	14	-5	No		No															10	8	40	34	7	0			15.2	+0.87	0.5	%	-15.5	15	.394	Nîmes Olympique
Auxerre	42		10	-	12	-	15	-10	No		No															1	8	23	37	26	4			15.9	+1.35	4.2		-47.9	16	.386	AJ Auxerre
Laval	41		10	-	11	-	16	-8	No		No																	10	20	54	16			16.8	-0.77	16.2		+3.5	17	.378	Stade Lavallois

Châteauroux	40		10	-	10	-	17	-13	No		No																	2	7	12	79			17.7	-1.18	79.2		+56.2	18	.370	LB Châteauroux
Istres	36		9	-	9	-	19	-25	No		No																					100		19.0	-0.16	Yes		+3.6	19	.338	FC Istres
Bastia	24		4	-	12	-	21	-40	No		No																						100	20.0		Yes			20	.242	CA Bastia

Week of 5/2
Lens 0 Angers 0
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Lens	-0.1		-3.2

Brest 0 Caen 1
8:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Metz	-0.1
Caen	+0.1		+14.0
Brest			No

Metz 1 Tours 1
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Metz	-0.1
Lens	+0.1

Troyes 0 Metz 1
8:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Metz	Yes
Caen	No

Caen 6 Bastia 1
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Caen			+9.3
Nancy			-4.3
Créteil			*No

Laval 1 Nancy 0
8:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Caen			+6.1
Lens			+7.7
Nancy			-17.1
Laval					-21.3

Istres 1 Lens 6
8:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Lens			+16.9
Nancy			-8.0
Dijon			No
Brest			No
Créteil					No
Arles-Avignon					No
Le Havre					*No
Nîmes					-5.8
Auxerre					-5.6
Istres					+18.1

Nancy 3 Istres 1
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Nancy			+9.7
Créteil			*No
Auxerre					-3.6
Istres					+11.2

Niort 1 Auxerre 0
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Niort			+6.5
Troyes					*No
Auxerre					+11.4

Créteil 1 Niort 1
8:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Niort			-4.8
Créteil					*No

Angers 2 Nîmes 3
8:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Angers			No
Nîmes					-27.6
Auxerre					+9.7

Nîmes 1 Brest 1
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Nîmes					+3.8

Clermont-Ferrand 0 Dijon 1
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Dijon			+0.1

Le Havre 2 Troyes 1
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Troyes			No

Arles-Avignon 2 Créteil 1
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Créteil			*No

Auxerre 2 Le Havre 1
8:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Nîmes					+8.2
Auxerre					-24.6
Laval					+6.8
Istres					+7.1

Châteauroux 1 Laval 1
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Laval					-2.6
Châteauroux					+1.0

Tours 2 Arles-Avignon 2
8:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Arles-Avignon					No

Week of 5/9
Lens 0 Brest 1
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Lens			-9.1

Caen 1 Tours 3
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Caen			-4.2

Nancy 3 Angers 1
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Nancy			+2.2

Niort 1 Bastia 1
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Niort			No

Arles-Avignon 0 Auxerre 2
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Nîmes					+12.5
Auxerre					-41.6
Laval					+12.3
Châteauroux					+15.0

Châteauroux 0 Créteil 2
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Auxerre					-11.8
Châteauroux					+27.6

Nîmes 2 Laval 1
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Nîmes					-15.4
Laval					+11.6

Istres 2 Dijon 4
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Istres					Yes

Week of 5/16
Bastia vs LensIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Caen			Yes97.896.7
Lens			63.792.8Yes
Nancy			36.39.43.3

Auxerre vs NancyHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Caen			YesYes93.8
Lens			YesYes72.5
Nancy			NoNo33.8
Nîmes					0.90.5No
Auxerre					No1.610.2

Dijon vs CaenHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Caen			94.5YesYes

Brest vs ChâteaurouxHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Nîmes					NoNo2.4
Auxerre					NoNo22.1
Laval					No13.165.0
Châteauroux					Yes86.910.5

Laval vs MetzHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Nîmes					1.9NoNo
Auxerre					8.96.9No
Laval					No12.027.3
Châteauroux					89.381.172.7

Créteil vs NîmesHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Down to National
Nîmes					0.9NoNo

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Ligue 2 Title Chances 2013-2014

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