SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Le Havre AC Title Chances 2013-2014

Lost to Metz 0-3, average seed down 0.3 to 12.9

45 points 10-15-12

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 5/2	100.0*	Down to National	100.0*	Average seed
Le Havre 2 Troyes 1	-0.2		+0.9
Nancy 3 Istres 1	-0.1
Niort 1 Auxerre 0	-0.1		+0.0
Nîmes 1 Brest 1	-0.1
Châteauroux 1 Laval 1			+0.1
Auxerre 2 Le Havre 1			-0.8
Istres 1 Lens 6	*No
Troyes 0 Metz 1			+0.2
Clermont-Ferrand 0 Dijon 1			+0.1
Bastia 1 Clermont-Ferrand 1			+0.1
Arles-Avignon 2 Créteil 1			-0.1
Créteil 1 Niort 1			+0.0
Metz 1 Tours 1			-0.0
Tours 2 Arles-Avignon 2			+0.0

Week of 5/9	100.0*	Down to National	100.0*	Average seed
Metz 3 Le Havre 0			-0.6
Châteauroux 0 Créteil 2			-0.2
Arles-Avignon 0 Auxerre 2			+0.2
Clermont-Ferrand 0 Troyes 3			+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/16	100.0*	Down to National	100.0*	Average seed
Le Havre vs Arles-Avignon			+0.8-0.4-1.1
Tours vs Clermont-Ferrand			+0.2-0.0-0.4
Créteil vs Nîmes			+0.1+0.1-0.3
Auxerre vs Nancy			-0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Le Havre finishes out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance		Promoted to		Chance will finish season at seed																				Down to
TP		W	-	D	-	L	wins title		Ligue 1		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	National		Count

48		1	-	0	-	0	No		No													95	5								No		28,716,026,857
46		0	-	1	-	0	No		No														73	25	2						No		18,326,229,298
45		0	-	0	-	1	No		No														28	52	18	2					No		14,818,000,045

Total:							No		No													44	31	20	5	0					No		61,860,256,200

Points

Chance Will Win Championship