How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Le Mans 0 Reims 1 -0.4
-0.2
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Angers vs Guingamp-0.0-0.0+0.1
-1.5-0.8+2.3
+2.5-0.4-2.1
-1.2-0.2+1.5
Arles vs Bastia+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Reims vs Metz-0.4+0.1+0.3
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Lens vs Nantes+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Amiens vs Sedan+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Troyes vs Clermont-0.1+0.2-0.1
Monaco vs Chateauroux+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Le Havre vs Istres+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Laval vs Tours*+0.0+0.0-0.1
Metz vs Le Mans-0.1-0.0+0.2
Boulogne vs Le Mans+0.1-0.1*+0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Guingamp finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted1234567891011121314151617181920RelegatedCount
6710-0-052.0%Yes52462No737
659-1-030.1Yes306010No869
649-0-119.299.2%1965151No838
638-2-011.397.511602620No3,880
628-1-15.393.25513660No8,057
617-3-01.985.4239441320No14,339*
607-2-10.570.21244624500No31,501
597-1-20.150.3012383413200No50,099*
586-3-10.029.805253824710No83,481*
576-2-2No12.51113034185100No110,539
5-5-00.015.90214343214300No21,766
565-4-1No4.604193328123000No109,845
6-1-3No3.40315313115410No73,732
555-3-2No0.8016203226113000No219,945
6-0-4No0.8016203226113000No36,753*
545-2-3No0.1001721322611200No221,137
4-5-1No0.1002102532228200No109,707
534-4-2No0.0002102432228200No275,031
5-1-4No0.0001821312511200No121,247*
524-3-3NoNo00292332239200No366,630
3-6-1NoNo003122732206100No72,980
5-0-5NoNo01720312612300No21,974
514-2-4NoNo00282232249200No275,939
3-5-2NoNo002112632217100No223,732*
503-4-3NoNo0002102532228100No365,104
4-1-5NoNo001721322511200No110,625
2-7-1NoNo003132731186100No30,969
493-3-4NoNo00292432239200No367,513
2-6-2NoNo003122731206100No109,081
4-0-6NoNo0172131261120No19,393*
483-2-5NoNo002923322492000.0%219,727
2-5-3NoNo0021126322071000.0226,858*
472-4-4NoNo0021125322171000.1275,501
3-1-6NoNo00292332249100.173,649
1-7-2NoNo003132831185100.031,308*
462-3-5NoNo002112632216100.8232,257*
1-6-3NoNo0003132831185100.573,277
452-2-6NoNo003122833194004.7109,857
1-5-4NoNo004153032163003.6113,282*
441-4-5NoNo014173331132014.1109,741
2-1-7NoNo014163232132015.041,854*
431-3-6NoNo00162237276033.873,496
0-6-4NoNo0172338256031.222,328*
421-2-7NoNo029314116258.231,497
0-5-5NoNo00211323915155.621,771
410-4-6NoNo03194329577.126,027*
400-3-7NoNo01938421190.511,159*
390-2-8NoNo0326502196.83,924
380-1-9NoNo0115513499.0910
370-0-10NoNo104546Yes733
Total:0.0%2.4%0123467899109986532102.5%5,156,599

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship