"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Marseille 2 Strasbourg 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Guingamp vs Lyonnais+0.0NoNo
+0.2-0.0-0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.1
+0.8+0.1-0.4
Amiens vs GuingampNoNo+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
+0.3-0.0-0.2
-0.7-0.2+0.6
PSG vs Dijon+0.0-0.0-0.1
Caen vs Marseille-0.1-0.0+0.0
Montpellier vs Toulouse-0.1+0.0+0.1
Toulouse vs Nantes+0.1+0.0-0.1
Nice vs Saint-Étienne-0.1+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Guingamp vs Nantes+0.0NoNo
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.2-0.0+0.2
+0.7-0.1-0.6
PSG vs Montpellier+0.0-0.0-0.1
Bordeaux vs Lyonnais-0.1-0.0+0.0
Metz vs Nice+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Guingamp finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Ligue 2Count
8318-0-020.4%Yes20763No1,174
8017-0-133.3Yes3367No3
7916-2-0NoYes8020No5
7816-1-1No94.1%65296No17
7715-3-0No86.7404713No30*
7615-2-11.180.513644163No87
7515-1-20.569.612643246No194*
7414-3-1No56.51541377No469*
7314-2-2No47.09384212No1,026*
7213-4-1No34.662845200No1,961*
7113-3-2No22.832048290No3,685*
7013-2-3No14.6113444100No6,821*
6912-4-2No8.90938521No11,807*
6812-3-3No4.40432622No20,538*
6711-5-2No2.202247040No32,635*
6611-4-3No0.901177670No51,294*
6511-3-4No0.40011781100No76,950*
6410-5-3No0.106771610No112,218*
6310-4-4No0.0004722320No157,279*
6210-3-5No0.002643130No211,735*
619-5-4No0.0015538600No275,864*
609-4-5No0.00044441110No348,086*
598-6-4NoNo033471820No426,737*
588-5-5NoNo0234726400No503,391*
578-4-6NoNo01443348100No576,557*
567-6-5NoNo08354015200No635,569*
557-5-6NoNo04254224400No680,352*
547-4-7NoNo0215393310100No703,682*
536-6-6NoNo18303919300No699,301*
526-5-7NoNo031939299100No676,167*
516-4-8NoNo01103136184000No628,867*
505-6-7NoNo004193628112000No566,020*
495-5-8NoNo00192734216100No491,965*
485-4-9NoNo003153131164100No409,659*
474-6-8NoNo016203227123000No330,713*
464-5-9NoNo00292431239200No256,091*
454-4-10NoNo0031226312071000.0%189,799*
443-6-9NoNo0141428301761000.1134,766*
433-5-10NoNo0015173028154000.592,119*
423-4-11NoNo001720312712202.658,827*
412-6-10NoNo00292433248108.536,827*
402-5-11NoNo003123034183021.321,363*
392-4-12NoNo0141936319039.911,913*
381-6-11NoNo029294119060.96,061*
371-5-12NoNo004194233276.72,968*
361-4-13NoNo083749591.51,378*
351-3-14NoNo52860795.3512*
340-5-13NoNo206515Yes209*
330-4-14NoNo117217Yes71*
320-3-15NoNo56035Yes20*
310-2-16NoNo6733Yes3
300-1-17NoNo100Yes1
290-0-18NoNo3664Yes1,174
Total:0.0%0.1%00011318181611854321100000.3%9,456,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship