How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/2100.0*Promoted to Ligue 1100.0*Down to National100.0*Average seed
Arles-Avignon 2 Créteil 1 *No
-0.9
Caen 6 Bastia 1 *No
Nancy 3 Istres 1 *No
Auxerre 2 Le Havre 1 +0.2
Créteil 1 Niort 1 *No
-0.3
Istres 1 Lens 6 No
Troyes 0 Metz 1 +0.2
Brest 0 Caen 1 +0.1
Bastia 1 Clermont-Ferrand 1 +0.1
Metz 1 Tours 1 -0.0
Clermont-Ferrand 0 Dijon 1 +0.0
Tours 2 Arles-Avignon 2 +0.0
Week of 5/9100.0*Promoted to Ligue 1100.0*Down to National100.0*Average seed
Châteauroux 0 Créteil 2 +1.5
Arles-Avignon 0 Auxerre 2 +0.3
Caen 1 Tours 3 -0.1
Metz 3 Le Havre 0 +0.1
Clermont-Ferrand 0 Troyes 3 -0.1
Lens 0 Brest 1 -0.1
Nîmes 2 Laval 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/16100.0*Promoted to Ligue 1100.0*Down to National100.0*Average seed
Créteil vs Nîmes+0.4-0.2-0.7
Troyes vs Niort-0.4+0.1+0.4
Angers vs Istres-0.1-0.1+0.4
Tours vs Clermont-Ferrand-0.1-0.1+0.2
Le Havre vs Arles-Avignon+0.0+0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Créteil finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePromoted toChance will finish season at seedDown to
TPW-D-Lwins titleLigue 11234567891011121314151617181920NationalCount
521-0-0NoNo1165428No31,219,706,300
500-1-0NoNo3070No18,326,470,562
490-0-1NoNo17524No12,314,079,338
Total:NoNo1837505No61,860,256,200
Points
Chance Will Win Championship