How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/16100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Uruguay vs Saudi Arabia+7.4-4.8-46.0
+0.1-0.1-0.8
Russia vs Egypt+1.6-1.3-9.5
-0.0+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/21100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Uruguay vs Russia+7.1+2.9-8.5
+0.6-0.1-0.5
Saudi Arabia vs Egypt-2.5+3.1+1.0

What If

Chances based on how well Uruguay finishes out the group.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-Lnext round1234Count
92-0-0In100225,042,107
71-1-0In6436172,683,876
61-0-196.7%6903254,531,749
50-2-0In69430,582,109
40-1-162.76337076,865,978
30-0-25.35722229,610,837
Total:91.8%454771789,316,656
Points
Chance Will Make Next Round

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/16100.0*Lottery seed
Brazil 1 Switzerland 1 -0.1
Argentina 1 Iceland 1 -0.1
France 2 Australia 1 +0.0
Costa Rica 0 Serbia 1 +0.0
Germany 0 Mexico 1 +0.0
Peru 0 Denmark 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Uruguay vs Saudi Arabia-1.8+2.6+8.0
Russia vs Egypt+0.1-0.3-0.1
Iran vs Spain+0.0-0.1-0.0
Sweden vs South Korea+0.0-0.1+0.0
Poland vs Senegal+0.0-0.1+0.0
Belgium vs Panama+0.0-0.1+0.0
Tunisia vs England+0.0-0.1+0.0
Colombia vs Japan+0.0-0.1+0.0
Portugal vs Morocco+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/21100.0*Lottery seed
Uruguay vs Russia-4.8+0.8+4.4
Saudi Arabia vs Egypt+0.1-0.2-0.0
France vs Peru+0.1-0.1-0.1
Denmark vs Australia+0.1-0.1-0.1
Iceland vs Croatia-0.0-0.1+0.0
Argentina vs Croatia-0.0-0.1+0.0
Serbia vs Brazil+0.0-0.1-0.0
Serbia vs Switzerland+0.0-0.1-0.0
Iran vs Portugal+0.0-0.1-0.0
South Korea vs Mexico-0.0-0.1+0.0
Mexico vs Sweden+0.0-0.1-0.0
South Korea vs Germany+0.0-0.1-0.0
Germany vs Sweden-0.0-0.1+0.0
Belgium vs Tunisia+0.0-0.1+0.0
Poland vs Colombia+0.0-0.1+0.0
England vs Panama+0.0-0.1+0.0
Japan vs Senegal+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nigeria vs Argentina-0.0-0.1+0.0
Nigeria vs Iceland-0.0-0.1+0.0
Spain vs Morocco+0.0-0.1-0.0
Switzerland vs Costa Rica+0.0-0.1-0.0
Brazil vs Costa Rica+0.0-0.1-0.0
Denmark vs France+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
92-0-0302922125100
71-1-0027121515933240000
61-0-10000012218262415610030000
50-2-000015041325271761
40-1-100014122224510107310000
30-0-200005002613182017115200000
Total:998654311398632232111111100000000