How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/16100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Costa Rica 0 Serbia 1 +25.5
+0.6
Brazil 1 Switzerland 1 +1.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/21100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Serbia vs SwitzerlandIn-6.0-23.2
+0.3-0.1-0.7
Serbia vs BrazilIn-6.0-23.2
+0.3-0.1-0.7
Brazil vs Costa Rica-1.6+2.1+2.4
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Switzerland vs Costa Rica-1.6+2.1+2.4
-0.1+0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Serbia finish out the group.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-Lnext round1234Count
7-9In100336,077,645*
61-0-1In3763148,330,176
50-2-083.6%31531622,638,095
40-1-138.60386149,757,041
30-0-2Out683227,393,283
Total:89.4%682191584,196,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Next Round

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/16100.0*Lottery seed
Costa Rica 0 Serbia 1 -5.6
Brazil 1 Switzerland 1 -0.3
Argentina 1 Iceland 1 -0.1
Iran 0 Spain 1 -0.1
Russia 3 Egypt 1 +0.1
Uruguay 1 Saudi Arabia 0 +0.0
Portugal 1 Morocco 0 +0.0
Poland 1 Senegal 2 +0.0
Colombia 1 Japan 2 +0.0
Belgium 3 Panama 0 +0.0
Tunisia 1 England 2 +0.0
Sweden 1 South Korea 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/21100.0*Lottery seed
Serbia vs Switzerland-3.0+1.8+6.4
Serbia vs Brazil-3.0+1.8+6.4
Brazil vs Costa Rica+0.2-0.5-0.2
Switzerland vs Costa Rica+0.2-0.5-0.2
Belgium vs Tunisia+0.1-0.1-0.2
Spain vs Morocco+0.1-0.2-0.2
Denmark vs Australia+0.1-0.1-0.1
Argentina vs Croatia-0.1-0.1+0.1
Iceland vs Croatia-0.1-0.1+0.1
South Korea vs Mexico-0.1-0.1+0.1
Germany vs Sweden-0.1-0.1+0.1
England vs Panama+0.1-0.1-0.1
France vs Peru+0.1-0.1-0.1
Uruguay vs Russia-0.0-0.1+0.1
Iran vs Portugal-0.0-0.1+0.1
Mexico vs Sweden+0.0-0.1+0.0
Denmark vs France+0.0-0.1+0.0
Japan vs Senegal+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nigeria vs Argentina-0.0-0.1+0.0
Nigeria vs Iceland-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
92-0-026252216820
71-1-00141120272511
61-0-1000021025410131412730
50-2-00002290141218144142000
40-1-10000014132116211572000
30-0-201381419211911410000
Total:99988881012344322221111110000000