How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/16100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Portugal 1 Morocco 0 +21.6
+0.5
Iran 0 Spain 1 -13.5
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/21100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Iran vs Portugal-63.7InIn
-1.0+0.2+0.6
Spain vs Morocco-1.2-1.2+15.9
-0.1+0.2+0.5

What If

Chances based on how well Portugal finishes out the group.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-Lnext round1234Count
71-0-0In6337270,293,556
50-1-0In1783114,963,992
40-0-13.5%397198,938,692
Total:67.1%333533584,196,240
Points
Chance Will Make Next Round

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/16100.0*Lottery seed
Portugal 1 Morocco 0 -3.8
Iran 0 Spain 1 +0.5
Argentina 1 Iceland 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/21100.0*Lottery seed
Iran vs Portugal+6.2+0.8-4.9
Spain vs Morocco+0.4-0.8-1.9
England vs Panama+0.1-0.1-0.1
France vs Peru+0.0-0.1-0.1
Nigeria vs Argentina-0.1-0.1+0.1
Nigeria vs Iceland-0.1-0.1+0.1
Brazil vs Costa Rica+0.1-0.1-0.1
Switzerland vs Costa Rica+0.1-0.1-0.1
South Korea vs Mexico-0.1-0.1+0.0
Germany vs Sweden-0.1-0.1+0.0
Denmark vs Australia+0.0-0.0-0.1
Belgium vs Tunisia+0.0+0.0-0.1
Serbia vs Brazil+0.0-0.1+0.0
Serbia vs Switzerland+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
71-0-00137131716827910000
50-1-0001160292228184
40-0-100000122335251030000
Total:001368771241246418129410000