How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/16100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Portugal vs MoroccoOut+8.4+24.8
-0.3+0.1+0.8
Iran vs Spain+1.0+0.9-3.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/21100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Spain vs MoroccoOut+8.4+24.8
-0.3+0.1+0.8
Iran vs Portugal+1.0+0.9-3.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Morocco finish out the group.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-Lnext round1234Count
62-0-0In376334,674,119
41-1-078.3%2762265,064,145
31-0-1Out8218196,241,522
20-2-017.818493430,577,290
0-1Out100462,759,580*
Total:11.5%2102464789,316,656

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Next Round

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/16100.0*Lottery seed
Portugal vs Morocco+3.0-1.0-7.4
Uruguay vs Saudi Arabia-0.1+0.1+0.2
Russia vs Egypt-0.1+0.1+0.2
Iran vs Spain-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/21100.0*Lottery seed
Spain vs Morocco+3.0-1.0-7.4
France vs Peru-0.1+0.1+0.2
Denmark vs Australia-0.1+0.1+0.2
Iran vs Portugal-0.0-0.0+0.1
South Korea vs Germany-0.0+0.0+0.1
Germany vs Sweden+0.1+0.0-0.0
Nigeria vs Iceland+0.1+0.0-0.0
Nigeria vs Argentina+0.1+0.0-0.0
Mexico vs Sweden-0.0+0.1+0.1
South Korea vs Mexico+0.1+0.1-0.0
Brazil vs Costa Rica-0.0+0.0+0.1
Iceland vs Croatia+0.1+0.0-0.0
Switzerland vs Costa Rica-0.0+0.0+0.1
Argentina vs Croatia+0.1+0.0-0.0
Serbia vs Brazil-0.0+0.0+0.1
Serbia vs Switzerland-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
62-0-0000027141219201472100
41-1-000200151220241498410000
31-0-1141016201915942000000
20-2-0001700001411192216720000
10-1-100002818252315720
00-0-2002615232826
Total:0000001111111222123455434578910109