How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/16100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Colombia 1 Japan 2 +25.5
+0.6
Poland 1 Senegal 2 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/21100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Japan vs Senegal+15.9+3.8-17.8
+0.6+0.1-0.6
Poland vs Colombia-4.7+3.8+2.8
-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well Japan finishes out the group.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-Lnext round1234Count
92-0-0In100196,204,580
71-1-0In8416164,681,220
61-0-193.9%20746279,631,725
50-2-0In247633,590,954
40-1-142.6042571109,476,919
30-0-22.22613783,558,458
Total:81.4%4635154867,143,856
Points
Chance Will Make Next Round

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/16100.0*Lottery seed
Colombia 1 Japan 2 -5.4
Argentina 1 Iceland 1 -0.1
Russia 3 Egypt 1 +0.0
Poland 1 Senegal 2 +0.0
Uruguay 1 Saudi Arabia 0 +0.0
Portugal 1 Morocco 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/21100.0*Lottery seed
Japan vs Senegal-5.0+0.1+5.0
Poland vs Colombia+0.2-0.3-0.0
Spain vs Morocco+0.1-0.2-0.2
England vs Panama+0.1-0.1-0.1
France vs Peru+0.1-0.1-0.1
Iran vs Portugal+0.0-0.1+0.1
Germany vs Sweden-0.1-0.1+0.0
South Korea vs Mexico-0.1-0.1+0.0
Belgium vs Tunisia+0.1-0.1-0.1
Denmark vs Australia+0.1-0.1-0.1
Serbia vs Brazil+0.0-0.1-0.0
Serbia vs Switzerland+0.0-0.1-0.0
Argentina vs Croatia-0.0-0.1+0.0
Iceland vs Croatia-0.0-0.1+0.0
Nigeria vs Argentina-0.0-0.1+0.0
Nigeria vs Iceland-0.0-0.1+0.0
Brazil vs Costa Rica+0.0-0.1-0.0
Switzerland vs Costa Rica+0.0-0.1-0.0
Australia vs Peru+0.0-0.1+0.0
South Korea vs Germany+0.0-0.1+0.0
Mexico vs Sweden+0.0-0.1+0.0
Denmark vs France+0.0-0.1+0.0
Saudi Arabia vs Egypt+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
92-0-027262216720
71-1-001411182219812410000
61-0-1000027115121718146106000
50-2-000022202102125143
40-1-100000151421151914720000
30-0-2000201381318211810310000
Total:6666556645665433432222221000000