How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/16100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Iran 0 Spain 1 -23.2
-0.7
Portugal 1 Morocco 0 -1.6
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/21100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Iran vs PortugalIn-30.1Out
+0.9-0.4-0.5
Spain vs Morocco-1.0-1.0+12.9
-0.1+0.3+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Iran finish out the group.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-Lnext round1234Count
61-0-0In2773198,938,692
40-1-04.9%595114,963,992
30-0-1Out946270,293,556
Total:35.0%926623584,196,240
Points
Chance Will Make Next Round

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/16100.0*Lottery seed
Iran 0 Spain 1 +6.2
Portugal 1 Morocco 0 +0.2
Brazil 1 Switzerland 1 -0.1
Argentina 1 Iceland 1 -0.1
Russia 3 Egypt 1 +0.1
Uruguay 1 Saudi Arabia 0 +0.0
Peru 0 Denmark 1 +0.0
Colombia 1 Japan 2 +0.0
Sweden 1 South Korea 0 +0.0
Costa Rica 0 Serbia 1 +0.0
Germany 0 Mexico 1 +0.0
Belgium 3 Panama 0 +0.0
Tunisia 1 England 2 +0.0
Poland 1 Senegal 2 +0.0
France 2 Australia 1 +0.0
Croatia 2 Nigeria 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/21100.0*Lottery seed
Iran vs Portugal-7.0+0.8+4.8
Spain vs Morocco+0.3-0.9-0.9
South Korea vs Germany+0.1-0.3+0.1
Saudi Arabia vs Egypt+0.0-0.2+0.1
Australia vs Peru+0.1-0.3+0.1
Switzerland vs Costa Rica+0.1-0.2-0.0
Brazil vs Costa Rica+0.1-0.2-0.0
Poland vs Colombia+0.1-0.2+0.1
Nigeria vs Iceland-0.0-0.2+0.1
Nigeria vs Argentina-0.0-0.2+0.1
Uruguay vs Russia+0.0+0.1-0.1
Belgium vs Tunisia-0.0+0.0+0.2
Denmark vs Australia-0.0+0.0+0.1
Iceland vs Croatia+0.1+0.0-0.0
Argentina vs Croatia+0.1+0.0-0.0
Serbia vs Switzerland-0.0+0.0+0.1
Serbia vs Brazil-0.0+0.0+0.1
South Korea vs Mexico+0.1-0.0-0.0
Germany vs Sweden+0.1-0.0-0.0
France vs Peru-0.0-0.0+0.1
Japan vs Senegal-0.0+0.1-0.0
Denmark vs France-0.0+0.1-0.0
Mexico vs Sweden-0.0+0.1-0.0
England vs Panama-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
61-0-000002816101719158300
40-1-0000012230382061000
30-0-101613212319114100000
Total:00001354665311068771011952000000