Points
Chance Will Make Next Round

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make next roundChance will finish group at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change1234Avg.ChangeRPI
Croatia93-0-06In1001.08Croatia
Argentina41-1-1-2In1002.017Argentina
Nigeria31-0-2-1Out1003.031Nigeria
Iceland10-1-2-3Out1004.030Iceland

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/16
Croatia 2 Nigeria 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Croatia+25.3
+0.7
Nigeria-25.1
-0.6
Iceland*-0.1
Argentina 1 Iceland 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Croatia+0.9
Argentina-0.9
-0.0
Nigeria+1.0
Iceland-1.0
-0.0
Week of 6/21
Nigeria 1 Argentina 2
9:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Croatia+0.1
Argentina+46.0
+0.9
NigeriaOut
-0.9
Iceland+7.5
-0.1
Argentina 0 Croatia 3
9:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
CroatiaIn
+0.7
Argentina-27.7
-0.7
Nigeria+0.9
-0.0
Iceland+1.3
+0.0
Iceland 1 Croatia 2
9:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Croatia+0.1
Argentina+9.3
+0.3
Nigeria+6.4
+0.1
IcelandOut
-0.5
Week of 6/28
None

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.