Points
Chance Will Make Next Round

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make next roundChance will finish group at seed
WednesdayPGW-D-LGD%Change1234Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
Croatia31-0-0290.2%+0.06921911.47.720at ArgentinaCroatia
Argentina10-1-0049.5-0.0153534172.519.487CroatiaArgentina
Iceland10-1-0049.5-0.0153534172.519.487Iceland
Nigeria00-0-1-210.9+0.02924653.519.253Nigeria

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/16
Croatia 2 Nigeria 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Croatia+25.5
+0.7
Iceland*-0.1
Nigeria-25.4
-0.6
Argentina 1 Iceland 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Croatia+0.9
Argentina-1.0
-0.0
Iceland-0.9
-0.0
Nigeria+0.9
Week of 6/21
Nigeria vs IcelandIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Croatia92.891.988.6
1.41.31.5
Argentina60.564.140.7
2.42.42.6
Iceland11.027.070.7
3.62.82.1
Nigeria35.716.9Out
2.73.53.8
Nigeria vs ArgentinaHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Croatia92.891.988.6
1.41.31.5
Argentina11.027.070.7
3.62.82.1
Iceland60.564.140.7
2.42.42.6
Nigeria35.716.9Out
2.73.53.8
Iceland vs CroatiaHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Croatia67.086.2In
2.21.41.1
Argentina36.142.656.7
2.72.62.5
Iceland89.659.031.5
1.52.52.9
Nigeria7.212.211.8
3.63.53.5
Argentina vs CroatiaHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Croatia67.086.2In
2.21.41.1
Argentina89.659.031.5
1.52.52.9
Iceland36.142.656.7
2.72.62.5
Nigeria7.212.211.8
3.63.53.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.