Points
Chance Will Make Next Round

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make next roundChance will finish group at seed
6/28PGW-D-LGD%Change1234Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Croatia93-0-06In1001.08.891Croatia
Argentina41-1-1-2In1002.017.342Argentina
Nigeria31-0-2-1Out1003.031.407Nigeria
Iceland10-1-2-3Out1004.030.242Iceland

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/16
Croatia 2 Nigeria 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Croatia+25.5
+0.7
Nigeria-25.4
-0.6
Iceland*-0.1
Argentina 1 Iceland 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Croatia+0.9
Argentina-1.0
-0.0
Nigeria+0.9
Iceland-0.9
-0.0
Week of 6/21
Nigeria 1 Argentina 2
9:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Argentina+81.1
+1.3
NigeriaOut
-0.9
Iceland+1.7
-0.5
Argentina 0 Croatia 3
9:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
CroatiaIn
+0.3
Argentina-18.0
-0.4
Nigeria+0.9
+0.0
Iceland+7.2
+0.1
Iceland 1 Croatia 2
9:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Croatia+0.0
Argentina+0.4
+0.1
Nigeria+0.3
-0.0
IcelandOut
-0.1
Week of 6/28
None

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.