How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/16100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Russia 3 Egypt 1 -7.3
-0.1
Uruguay 1 Saudi Arabia 0 Out
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/21100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Saudi Arabia vs Egypt-0.7+0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Egypt finish out the group.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-Lnext round1234Count
1-3Out100432,566,808*
00-0-1Out100151,629,432
Total:Out7426584,196,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Next Round

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 6/16100.0*Lottery seed
Russia 3 Egypt 1 +1.7
Iran 0 Spain 1 +0.1
Portugal 1 Morocco 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/21100.0*Lottery seed
Saudi Arabia vs Egypt+5.7+1.6-3.3
Spain vs Morocco-0.1+0.2+0.5
Iran vs Portugal+0.2+0.2-0.2
England vs Panama-0.1+0.2+0.2
Belgium vs Tunisia-0.1+0.1+0.2
Denmark vs Australia-0.1+0.1+0.2
South Korea vs Mexico+0.2+0.2-0.1
Germany vs Sweden+0.2+0.2-0.1
France vs Peru-0.1+0.1+0.2
Argentina vs Croatia+0.1+0.0-0.0
Iceland vs Croatia+0.1+0.0-0.0
Serbia vs Switzerland-0.0+0.0+0.1
Serbia vs Brazil-0.0+0.0+0.1
South Korea vs Germany+0.0-0.1+0.0
Switzerland vs Costa Rica+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brazil vs Costa Rica+0.0-0.1+0.0
Australia vs Peru+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nigeria vs Argentina+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nigeria vs Iceland+0.0-0.1+0.0
Japan vs Senegal-0.0+0.1-0.0
Poland vs Colombia+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
31-0-01512182221146200000
10-1-00001923312310300
00-0-1002818272618
Total:0361012118556545775