How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/16100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Croatia 2 Nigeria 0 +25.5
+0.7
Argentina 1 Iceland 1 +0.9
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/21100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Average seed
Argentina vs Croatia-23.1-3.9In
-0.7-0.0+0.3
Iceland vs Croatia-23.1-3.9In
-0.7-0.0+0.3
Nigeria vs Argentina+2.6+1.8-1.5
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Nigeria vs Iceland+2.6+1.8-1.5
+0.1+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Croatia finish out the group.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-Lnext round1234Count
7-9In100498,864,457*
61-0-1In3862220,158,633
50-2-093.2%5043733,606,334
40-1-142.51415773,844,004
30-0-2Out712940,670,428
Total:90.2%692191867,143,856

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Next Round

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/16100.0*Lottery seed
Croatia 2 Nigeria 0 -5.7
Argentina 1 Iceland 1 -0.2
Brazil 1 Switzerland 1 -0.1
Iran 0 Spain 1 -0.1
Russia 3 Egypt 1 +0.1
Uruguay 1 Saudi Arabia 0 +0.0
Portugal 1 Morocco 0 +0.0
Sweden 1 South Korea 0 +0.0
Belgium 3 Panama 0 +0.0
Costa Rica 0 Serbia 1 +0.0
Tunisia 1 England 2 +0.0
Colombia 1 Japan 2 +0.0
Germany 0 Mexico 1 +0.0
Poland 1 Senegal 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/21100.0*Lottery seed
Iceland vs Croatia+6.5+1.5-2.9
Argentina vs Croatia+6.5+1.5-2.9
Nigeria vs Iceland-0.2-0.5+0.2
Nigeria vs Argentina-0.2-0.5+0.2
Belgium vs Tunisia+0.1-0.1-0.2
Spain vs Morocco+0.1-0.2-0.1
Serbia vs Brazil+0.1-0.1-0.1
Serbia vs Switzerland+0.1-0.1-0.1
Denmark vs Australia+0.1-0.1-0.1
South Korea vs Mexico-0.1-0.1+0.1
Germany vs Sweden-0.1-0.1+0.1
England vs Panama+0.1-0.1-0.1
France vs Peru+0.1-0.1-0.1
Iran vs Portugal-0.0-0.1+0.1
Mexico vs Sweden+0.0-0.1+0.0
Uruguay vs Russia-0.0-0.1+0.1
Denmark vs France+0.0-0.1+0.0
Japan vs Senegal+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brazil vs Costa Rica+0.0-0.1-0.0
Switzerland vs Costa Rica+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
92-0-031272213510
71-1-0016152729184
61-0-100003112451214139520
50-2-000064301512148261000
40-1-1001000271517221811510000
30-0-202611151719169310000
Total:111098887913433322221111110000000