Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsRound of 16Chance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.ChangeRPI
United States72-1-03InYes1004.0-0.039United States
Australia41-1-10InYes10010.0+0.6316Australia
Sweden30-3-00In+28.2Yes+28.210016.0+0.0821Sweden
Nigeria10-1-2-3OutNo10021.0+0.0923Nigeria

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/6
United States 3 Australia 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United States+23.5
+23.5
+4.6
Australia-23.1
-23.1
-4.2
Sweden 3 Nigeria 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United States-0.3
-0.3
Australia-0.3
-0.3
Sweden-0.8
-0.8
-0.5
Nigeria-0.8
-0.8
-0.5
Week of 6/13
Australia 2 Nigeria 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United States-1.8
-1.8
-0.1
Australia+33.2
+33.2
+4.9
Sweden-1.3
-1.3
+0.2
Nigeria-28.1
-28.1
-4.7
Nigeria 0 United States 1
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United StatesIn
Yes
+5.5
Australia+6.7
+6.7
-0.7
Sweden+7.8
+7.8
+0.1
NigeriaOut
No
-5.0
Costa Rica 0 Brazil 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United States-0.4
SwedenIn
Yes
+0.5
Australia 1 Sweden 1
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United States+1.0
AustraliaIn
Yes
+0.8
Sweden+1.5
+1.5
-2.8
Nigeria+0.7
United States 0 Sweden 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United States+11.5
+11.5
+0.0
Australia+0.5
+0.5
+0.2
Sweden-10.6
-10.6
-1.4
Nigeria+0.5
+0.5
+0.4
England 2 Colombia 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United States+0.4
Sweden-16.9
-16.9
-0.4
South Korea 2 Spain 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Australia-0.1
Sweden-9.4
-9.4
-0.2
Nigeria+0.2
Thailand 0 Germany 4
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United States+1.8
+1.8
Australia+4.0
+4.0
Sweden+3.2
+3.2
Netherlands 1 Canada 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United States-2.0
-2.0
Australia-1.7
-1.7
Sweden-2.1
-2.1
Nigeria-0.2
-0.2
South Korea 2 Costa Rica 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United States+0.5
+0.5
Australia+1.0
+1.0
Sweden+0.3
+0.3
Nigeria+0.4
+0.4
Brazil 1 Spain 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United States+0.4
+0.4
Australia+0.8
+0.8
Sweden+0.4
+0.4
Nigeria+0.4
+0.4
France 0 Colombia 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United States-0.3
-0.3
Australia-0.7
-0.7
Sweden-0.4
-0.4
Nigeria-0.4
-0.4
Germany 1 Norway 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United States-0.3
-0.3
Australia-0.8
-0.8
Sweden-0.3
-0.3
Nigeria-0.4
-0.4
Switzerland 1 Cameroon 2
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United StatesIn
Yes
Australia-0.2
-0.2
Sweden-0.1
-0.1
Ivory Coast 2 Thailand 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United States-0.3
-0.3
Australia-0.5
-0.5
Sweden-0.3
-0.3
Nigeria-0.2
-0.2
Switzerland 10 Ecuador 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United States-0.3
-0.3
Australia-0.6
-0.6
Sweden-0.2
-0.2
Nigeria-0.2
-0.2
China PR 1 Netherlands 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United States-0.2
-0.2
Australia-0.5
-0.5
Canada 0 New Zealand 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Sweden-0.3
-0.3
Ivory Coast 1 Norway 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United States-0.2
Australia+0.5
+0.5
Nigeria+0.2
England 2 Mexico 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Australia-0.2
-0.2
Japan 2 Cameroon 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Australia*+0.1
*+0.1
China PR 2 New Zealand 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Australia+0.2
+0.2
+0.2
Mexico 0 France 5
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Australia-0.2
Nigeria+0.5
Ecuador 0 Japan 1
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
United States-0.2
Nigeria+0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.