Group C Playoff Chances 2015

Week of 6/6
Japan 1 Switzerland 0
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Japan	+23.7		+23.7		+4.3
Switzerland	-22.8		-22.8		-4.0

Cameroon 6 Ecuador 0
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Cameroon	+23.7		+23.7		+4.3
Ecuador	-22.8		-22.8		-4.0

Week of 6/13
Switzerland 10 Ecuador 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Japan	-0.2		-0.2
Switzerland	+46.4		+46.4		+3.8
Ecuador	-27.5		-27.5		-3.5

South Korea 2 Costa Rica 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Japan	+0.3		+0.3
Cameroon	+0.2		+0.2
Switzerland	+2.3		+2.3
Ecuador	+2.5		+2.5

Ivory Coast 2 Thailand 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Japan	-0.2		-0.2
Switzerland	-1.8		-1.8
Ecuador	-2.3		-2.3

China PR 1 Netherlands 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Japan	-0.2		-0.2		+0.1
Switzerland	-1.8		-1.8		-0.2
Ecuador	-1.8		-1.8		-0.2

Switzerland 1 Cameroon 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Cameroon	In		Yes		+4.2
Switzerland	-1.4		-1.4		-4.3

Japan 2 Cameroon 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Japan	In		Yes		+3.6
Cameroon	-1.7		-1.7		-3.4
Ecuador	*-0.1		*-0.1

France 0 Colombia 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Switzerland	-1.1		-1.1
Ecuador	-1.1		-1.1

Netherlands 1 Canada 1
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Cameroon	-1.1		-1.1		-0.2
Switzerland	-0.8		-0.8		-0.2

Brazil 1 Spain 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Switzerland	+0.8		+0.8
Ecuador	+0.9		+0.9

Australia 1 Sweden 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Cameroon	-1.3		-1.3
Switzerland	-0.5		-0.5

Thailand 0 Germany 4
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Cameroon	+1.1		+1.1		+0.1
Switzerland	+0.6		+0.6

Canada 0 New Zealand 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Japan					+0.1
Switzerland	-0.9		-0.9
Ecuador	-0.5		-0.5

United States 0 Sweden 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Switzerland	-0.6		-0.6
Ecuador	-0.7		-0.7

Australia 2 Nigeria 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Switzerland	+0.3		+0.3
Ecuador	+0.1		+0.1

England 2 Mexico 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Switzerland	+0.3		+0.3
Ecuador	+0.1		+0.1

Nigeria 0 United States 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Japan					-0.1
Cameroon	+0.3		+0.3		+0.0
Switzerland	+0.2		+0.2

China PR 2 New Zealand 2
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Switzerland					+0.1

Ecuador 0 Japan 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Japan					+0.9
Cameroon					-0.0
Switzerland					-0.1
Ecuador	Out		No		-0.4

Ivory Coast 1 Norway 3
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Cameroon					-0.1
Switzerland					-0.1
Ecuador					+0.1

England 2 Colombia 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Switzerland					-0.6

Costa Rica 0 Brazil 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Round of 16	100.0*	Average seed
Japan					-0.3
Switzerland					+0.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

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