Timor-Leste Playoff Chances 2ndround2018

Lost to UAE 0-1, playoff odds down 23.4 to 3.7%

1 points 0-1-1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Timor-Leste finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in				Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Qualified		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32	33	34	35	36	37	38	39	40	Count

19	6	-	0	-	0	In		Yes		13	31	30	17	5	2	0		2																																4,239
17	5	-	1	-	0	In		Yes		0	2	8	19	26	20	9	2	8	4	1	0																													16,726
16	5	-	0	-	1	99.2	%	99.2	%	0	0	1	5	13	20	18	7	11	13	7	2	1	0	0		0	0																							43,386
15	4	-	2	-	0	94.0		94.0				0	1	3	12	23	21	3	10	13	9	4	1	0	0	1	0	0																						29,116
14	4	-	1	-	1	56.9		56.9				0	0	0	1	7	17	0	3	11	18	17	10	3	1	8	3	1	0	0																				150,861
13	4	-	0	-	2	11.6		11.6							0	0	4	0	0	1	5	12	16	13	5	12	15	9	3	1	0	0	0	2	0															194,295
	3	-	3	-	0	28.5		28.5						0	0	2	16	0	0	2	8	16	21	14	4	6	6	3	1	0	0			0																26,936
12	3	-	2	-	1	2.2		2.2								0	2		0	0	0	2	7	15	15	4	12	16	12	6	2	0	0	6	0	0	0													205,713
11	3	-	1	-	2	0.0		0.0									0				0	0	0	3	8	0	3	8	15	17	12	5	1	21	7	1	0	0				0								520,788
	2	-	4	-	0	0.5		0.5									1					0	1	7	20	0	3	10	15	15	10	4	0	10	3	0	0													13,341
10	3	-	0	-	3	Out		No															0	0	1	0	0	1	2	6	11	11	6	20	22	12	4	1	0	0		2	0	0						433,107
	2	-	3	-	1	Out		No															0	0	4	0	0	1	4	10	15	14	6	18	17	8	2	0	0	0		1	0							135,415
9	2	-	2	-	2	Out		No																0	0		0	0	0	1	3	8	11	5	16	22	17	8	3	0	0	5	1	0	0	0				504,889
	1	-	5	-	0	Out		No																	1				0	1	5	12	15	6	17	20	13	5	2	0		2	0							3,532
8	2	-	1	-	3	Out		No																	0					0	0	1	5	0	3	10	19	21	15	6	1	11	5	1	0	0	0			825,636
	1	-	4	-	1	Out		No																	0				0	0	0	2	8	1	4	12	20	21	12	4	1	10	4	1	0					42,900
7	2	-	0	-	4	Out		No																							0	0	1	0	0	1	5	12	19	18	8	11	14	8	3	1	0	0		500,259
	1	-	3	-	2	Out		No																							0	0	2	0	0	1	6	14	21	17	6	11	13	6	2	0	0	0		210,075
	0	-	6	-	0	Out		No																									2		0	3	7	18	21	16	4	11	15	2	1					352
6	1	-	2	-	3	Out		No																								0	0		0	0	0	2	9	20	19	4	12	16	11	5	1	0	0	504,262
	0	-	5	-	1	Out		No																									0			0	0	3	12	21	19	4	13	14	9	4	0	0		5,272
5	1	-	1	-	4	Out		No																									0			0	0	0	1	9	23	1	5	13	19	17	9	3	0	597,057
	0	-	4	-	2	Out		No																													0	0	2	9	21	1	6	15	20	16	7	2	0	31,791
4	1	-	0	-	5	Out		No																														0	0	2	16	0	1	4	12	23	24	15	4	277,532
	0	-	3	-	3	Out		No																														0	0	2	14	0	1	5	15	24	24	12	3	98,957
3	0	-	2	-	4	Out		No																																0	8	0	0	1	3	12	27	33	16	171,118
2	0	-	1	-	5	Out		No																																0	2		0	0	0	3	14	38	42	154,185
1	0	-	0	-	6	Out		No																																				0	0	0	4	25	71	56,820

Total:						3.7	%	3.7	%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	1	1	2	2	3	3	3	3	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	7	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	5,758,560

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs