SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

Saudi Arabia Playoff Chances 2022

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 44.3%

3 points 1-0-1

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/20	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Argentina 1 Saudi Arabia 2	+25.6		+0.7
Poland 2 Saudi Arabia 0	-24.5		-0.5
Argentina 2 Mexico 0	+6.4		-0.0
Mexico 0 Poland 0	+1.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/27	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Saudi Arabia vs Mexico	In+27.3Out		+1.1+0.6-0.9
Poland vs Argentina	+5.8-14.6-5.1		+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Saudi Arabia finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

6		1	-	0	-	0	In		26	74			2,608,420
4		0	-	1	-	0	71.5	%		72	28		1,806,702
3		0	-	0	-	1	Out				22	78	4,398,654

Total:							44.3	%	8	37	17	39	8,813,776

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20	100.0*	Lottery seed
Argentina 1 Saudi Arabia 2	-5.6
Poland 2 Saudi Arabia 0	+4.3
Argentina 2 Mexico 0	-0.4
Mexico 0 Poland 0	-0.2
Uruguay 0 South Korea 0	-0.1
Morocco 0 Croatia 0	-0.1
Tunisia 0 Australia 1	-0.0
Qatar 1 Senegal 3	+0.0
Switzerland 1 Cameroon 0	+0.0
Belgium 1 Canada 0	+0.0
Brazil 2 Serbia 0	+0.0
Spain 7 Costa Rica 0	+0.0
Germany 1 Japan 2	+0.0

Week of 11/27	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cameroon 3 Serbia 3	-0.3
Netherlands 11 Qatar 29	+0.2
South Korea 2 Ghana 3	+0.1
Croatia 4 Canada 1	+0.1
Spain 1 Germany 1	-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Saudi Arabia vs Mexico	-7.5-2.0+5.3
Tunisia vs France	+0.4-0.1-0.1
Cameroon vs Brazil	+0.5-0.0-0.0
South Korea vs Portugal	+0.4-0.1-0.1
Australia vs Denmark	+0.0-0.2+0.1
Poland vs Argentina	-0.0-0.1+0.2
Canada vs Morocco	+0.2-0.1+0.0
Ghana vs Uruguay	-0.0-0.2+0.1
Serbia vs Switzerland	+0.1-0.2-0.0
Costa Rica vs Germany	-0.0-0.2+0.1
Ecuador vs Senegal	-0.1+0.2+0.1
Wales vs England	+0.2-0.0+0.0
Croatia vs Belgium	-0.0+0.1+0.2
Japan vs Spain	+0.1+0.1-0.1

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

6		1	-	0	-	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	9	6	14	30	20	8	1	0
4		0	-	1	-	0									0	0	0	4	19	36	12		14	11	3	0	0	0
3		0	-	0	-	1																		0	3	12	21	24	19	12	6	2	0	0	0	0

Total:							0	0	0	0	1	2	3	2	4	9	6	3	4	7	2		3	2	2	6	11	12	10	6	3	1	0	0	0	0