Mexico Playoff Chances 2022
Did not play, playoff odds up 1.6 to 42.4%
1 points 0-1-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Argentina 2 Mexico 0 | -35.2 | -1.1 | ||
| Poland 2 Saudi Arabia 0 | -3.3 | -0.1 | ||
| Mexico 0 Poland 0 | -1.0 | -0.0 | ||
| Argentina 1 Saudi Arabia 2 | -0.3 | |||
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Spain 1 Germany 1 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Saudi Arabia vs Mexico | OutOut+42.5 | -0.9-0.9+0.9 | ||
| Poland vs Argentina | +7.5-19.0-6.4 | +0.1-0.2-0.1 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Mexico finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | |||
| 4 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 84.9 | % | 85 | 15 | 4,398,654 | ||||
| 1 | -2 | Out | 100 | 4,415,122 | * | |||||||||
| Total: | 42.4 | % | 42 | 8 | 50 | 8,813,776 | ||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Argentina 2 Mexico 0 | +7.7 | |
| Mexico 0 Poland 0 | +0.6 | |
| Poland 2 Saudi Arabia 0 | +0.4 | |
| Tunisia 0 Australia 1 | -0.1 | |
| Argentina 1 Saudi Arabia 2 | +0.1 | |
| Morocco 0 Croatia 0 | -0.1 | |
| Uruguay 0 South Korea 0 | -0.1 | |
| Netherlands 1 Ecuador 1 | -0.1 | |
| Qatar 1 Senegal 3 | +0.0 | |
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Japan 0 Costa Rica 1 | +0.2 | |
| Netherlands 11 Qatar 29 | +0.2 | |
| South Korea 2 Ghana 3 | +0.1 | |
| Spain 1 Germany 1 | +0.1 | |
| Portugal 2 Uruguay 0 | -0.1 | |
| Belgium 0 Morocco 2 | +0.0 | |
| Croatia 4 Canada 1 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Saudi Arabia vs Mexico | +7.8+5.2-6.7 | |
| Poland vs Argentina | -0.3+0.7+0.2 | |
| Wales vs England | +0.4+0.2-0.1 | |
| South Korea vs Portugal | +0.3+0.2-0.1 | |
| Tunisia vs France | +0.3+0.2-0.1 | |
| Cameroon vs Brazil | +0.3+0.2-0.1 | |
| Australia vs Denmark | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
| Costa Rica vs Germany | -0.1-0.2+0.1 | |
| Canada vs Morocco | +0.2+0.1-0.0 | |
| Ecuador vs Senegal | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | |
| Serbia vs Switzerland | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |
| Ghana vs Uruguay | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Japan vs Spain | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 4 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 27 | 10 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:45 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
