Japan Playoff Chances 2022
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 19.8%
3 points 1-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Germany 1 Japan 2 | +25.6 | +0.7 | ||
| Spain 7 Costa Rica 0 | -0.3 | |||
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Japan 0 Costa Rica 1 | -46.3 | -0.8 | ||
| Spain 1 Germany 1 | -2.0 | +0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Japan vs Spain | In+21.1Out | +1.8+0.2-0.4 | ||
| Costa Rica vs Germany | -8.3+12.0-1.7 | +0.0+0.3-0.1 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Japan finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | |||
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 95 | 5 | 1,002,982 | |||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 40.8 | % | 41 | 59 | 1,808,800 | ||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | Out | 81 | 19 | 6,001,994 | |||||
| Total: | 19.8 | % | 11 | 9 | 67 | 13 | 8,813,776 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Germany 1 Japan 2 | -5.6 | |
| Uruguay 0 South Korea 0 | -0.1 | |
| Tunisia 0 Australia 1 | -0.1 | |
| Argentina 2 Mexico 0 | -0.1 | |
| Spain 7 Costa Rica 0 | +0.1 | |
| Mexico 0 Poland 0 | -0.1 | |
| Poland 2 Saudi Arabia 0 | +0.0 | |
| Brazil 2 Serbia 0 | +0.0 | |
| Portugal 3 Ghana 2 | +0.0 | |
| France 2 Denmark 1 | +0.0 | |
| Switzerland 1 Cameroon 0 | +0.0 | |
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Japan 0 Costa Rica 1 | +7.4 | |
| Netherlands 11 Qatar 29 | +0.3 | |
| Cameroon 3 Serbia 3 | -0.3 | |
| Spain 1 Germany 1 | -0.3 | |
| South Korea 2 Ghana 3 | +0.1 | |
| Croatia 4 Canada 1 | +0.0 | |
| Belgium 0 Morocco 2 | +0.0 | |
| Portugal 2 Uruguay 0 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Japan vs Spain | -11.6-2.9+2.8 | |
| Costa Rica vs Germany | +0.3-0.7+0.1 | |
| Cameroon vs Brazil | +0.7-0.0-0.0 | |
| South Korea vs Portugal | +0.6-0.1-0.1 | |
| Tunisia vs France | +0.6-0.1-0.1 | |
| Croatia vs Belgium | -0.1+0.3+0.4 | |
| Canada vs Morocco | +0.4-0.0-0.0 | |
| Ghana vs Uruguay | -0.1-0.2+0.2 | |
| Serbia vs Switzerland | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | |
| Ecuador vs Senegal | -0.1+0.2+0.2 | |
| Australia vs Denmark | -0.1-0.2+0.1 | |
| Saudi Arabia vs Mexico | -0.1-0.2+0.1 | |
| Wales vs England | +0.2-0.1+0.0 | |
| Poland vs Argentina | -0.1+0.2+0.2 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 35 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | 14 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:45 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
