"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Laos 2 Myanmar 2 +0.1
+0.1
Maldives 0 Qatar 1 -0.1
-0.1
India 1 Oman 2 -0.1
-0.1
Lebanon 0 Kuwait 1 *-0.1
*-0.1
Bangladesh 1 Kyrgyzstan 3 *-0.1
*-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chinese Taipei vs Indonesia+0.5+0.5-0.7
+0.5+0.5-0.7
-0.0+0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Iraq finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-LplayoffsQualified12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940Count
248-0-0InYes97302,742
227-1-0InYes801820010,502
217-0-1InYes5333102002023,538
206-2-0InYes3340216100020,424
196-1-1InYes122727166100100090,026
186-0-299.9%99.9%2817201562026510096,741
5-3-0InYes312242617720910021,940
175-2-1100.0100.002715201571191020000143,170
165-1-297.497.4001381312516221451000100305,297
4-4-099.599.50026152117711137200014,876
155-0-376.776.700137741422191031071000213,942
4-3-187.387.3000271412413201682002000125,712
144-2-246.746.7001490311192114517410000395,434
3-5-064.664.60292004121818104021006,009
134-1-38.98.9000200151219188913831000100546,773
3-4-117.417.4018002716221976741000064,743
124-0-40.30.30000015121631016161041071000278,493
3-3-21.21.201002819222913126200200269,361
2-6-04.44.404003122724279731001,558
113-2-30.00.0000141802714181572931000549,034
2-5-10.20.20001930027131511514100019,808
103-1-4OutNo0005001271518111114931000200551,804
2-4-2OutNo00110013101820109105200000101,772
1-7-0OutNo023051121207642244
92-3-3OutNo01000141321411161372005100272,803
3-0-5OutNo0000028153111816931011200219,042
1-6-1OutNo040161926491395100203,320
82-2-4OutNo000021203815181361147100406,709
1-5-2OutNo0004180391617114110410020,528
0-8-0OutNo63922622618
72-1-5OutNo002001391514614191241000319,157
1-4-3OutNo050014111715613169310066,537
0-7-1OutNo190161222145111071229
61-3-4OutNo100016131261721156200131,160
2-0-6OutNo000014101051724188200103,266
0-6-2OutNo100281514617181251001,739
51-2-5OutNo0001410171724221130152,676
0-5-3OutNo001510181925199206,552
41-1-6OutNo00401514262817597,286
0-4-4OutNo00401616262715415,675
31-0-7OutNo010131228362026,217
0-3-5OutNo010131329351824,130
20-2-6OutNo0000315384322,595
10-1-7OutNo003247211,913
00-0-8OutNo05943,065
Total:21.7%21.7%11111222233344452333444433333221332221115,758,560
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs