SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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4 a.m.

Hong Kong Playoff Chances 2ndround2018 50/50

Beat Maldives 2-0, playoff odds up 15.1 to 59.5%

6 points 2-0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 6/11	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Qualified	100.0*	Average seed
Hong Kong 7 Bhutan 0	+14.4		+14.4		+4.5
Laos 2 Myanmar 2	+0.2		+0.2
Maldives 0 Qatar 1	-0.2		-0.2		-0.1
Afghanistan 0 Syria 6	*-0.1		*-0.1		*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Hong Kong finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in				Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Qualified		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32	33	34	35	36	37	38	39	40	Count

24		6	-	0	-	0	In		Yes		99	1	0																																						7,335
22		5	-	1	-	0	In		Yes		93	7	0																																						21,677
21		5	-	0	-	1	In		Yes		79	19	2	0	0				0																																43,348
20		4	-	2	-	0	In		Yes		65	29	6	1	0				0																																26,982
19		4	-	1	-	1	In		Yes		41	37	15	4	1	0	0		2	0																															108,088
18		4	-	0	-	2	100.0	%	100.0	%	15	30	26	13	4	1	0	0	11	0	0						0																								107,831
		3	-	3	-	0	In		Yes		19	35	28	12	3	1	0		2	0																															18,004
17		3	-	2	-	1	100.0		100.0		5	17	26	23	12	4	1	0	11	1	0	0					0																								108,102
16		3	-	1	-	2	99.3		99.3		0	3	10	17	19	12	5	1	21	9	2	0	0	0			1	0																							216,428
		2	-	4	-	0	In		Yes		1	6	17	24	23	13	4	0	8	3	0	0																													6,617
15		3	-	0	-	3	92.3		92.3		0	0	1	3	8	12	10	4	16	21	13	4	1	0	0		6	0	0						0																143,582
		2	-	3	-	1	98.3		98.3		0	0	2	6	14	19	15	5	13	15	8	2	0	0	0		1	0																							53,949
14		2	-	2	-	2	80.6		80.6		0	0	0	0	2	6	12	11	4	13	18	15	7	2	0	0	8	1	0	0					0																162,270
		1	-	5	-	0	92.8		92.8			0	0	1	4	13	22	17	4	11	14	8	4	1			2	1	0																						1,328
13		2	-	1	-	3	26.4		26.4					0	0	0	2	6	0	2	6	11	16	14	8	2	16	12	5	1	0	0	0		1	0	0														215,505
		1	-	4	-	1	48.5		48.5						0	1	5	14	0	3	9	16	18	12	5	1	9	5	1	0	0				0																13,705
12		2	-	0	-	4	0.8		0.8								0	0		0	0	0	2	6	10	8	6	15	19	14	6	2	0	0	10	1	0	0					0								108,089
		1	-	3	-	2	4.1		4.1								0	3		0	0	1	5	11	17	11	6	14	15	9	4	1	0	0	3	0	0														54,238
		0	-	6	-	0	14.8		14.8									10				5	14	16	25	10	5	5	4	5	1				2																108
11		1	-	2	-	3	0.0		0.0									0				0	0	1	4	11	0	2	7	14	18	14	7	1	11	7	2	0	0				0								107,891
		0	-	5	-	1	0.8		0.8									1					0	2	8	22	0	2	10	17	17	9	4	1	5	2	0														1,415
10		1	-	1	-	4	Out		No															0	0	2	0	0	0	1	4	10	16	12	5	13	15	11	5	1	0	0	4	0	0						108,432
		0	-	4	-	2	Out		No																0	5		0	1	2	8	16	19	11	6	11	10	6	2	0	0	0	1	0							6,846
9		1	-	0	-	5	Out		No																	0				0	0	1	4	11	0	2	7	13	17	14	7	1	13	8	2	0	0	0			43,047
		0	-	3	-	3	Out		No																	0					0	1	7	19	0	3	8	15	17	12	4	1	8	4	1	0	0				17,859
8		0	-	2	-	4	Out		No																							0	1	8		0	1	3	8	17	19	10	7	12	9	4	1	0			27,243
7		0	-	1	-	5	Out		No																								0	2				0	1	4	13	21	2	8	15	17	12	5	1	0	21,591
6		0	-	0	-	6	Out		No																									0					0	0	3	15	0	1	6	14	24	23	12	3	7,210

Total:							59.5	%	59.5	%	8	7	6	5	5	4	3	3	6	5	4	3	3	3	2	2	4	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1,758,720

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs