How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Germany 1 Japan 2 -25.1
-0.6
Spain 7 Costa Rica 0 -0.2
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Japan 0 Costa Rica 1 +14.5
+0.0
Spain 1 Germany 1 +1.9
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Costa Rica vs GermanyOutOut+33.6
-1.2-1.2+0.7
Japan vs Spain-14.9-13.7+6.6
-0.1-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Germany finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
41-0-089.4%89115,503,144
1-2Out1003,310,632*
Total:55.8%567388,813,776

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Germany 1 Japan 2 +5.3
Argentina 2 Mexico 0 +0.1
Tunisia 0 Australia 1 +0.1
Wales 0 Iran 2 +0.1
Spain 7 Costa Rica 0 +0.1
Qatar 1 Senegal 3 +0.0
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Spain 1 Germany 1 -1.5
Japan 0 Costa Rica 1 -0.6
Cameroon 3 Serbia 3 -0.1
Portugal 2 Uruguay 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Costa Rica vs Germany+9.5+6.6-4.8
Japan vs Spain+0.6+0.6-0.3
Cameroon vs Brazil+0.3+0.1-0.1
Tunisia vs France+0.3+0.1-0.1
South Korea vs Portugal+0.3+0.1-0.1
Saudi Arabia vs Mexico+0.1-0.3+0.1
Wales vs England+0.3+0.1-0.0
Australia vs Denmark+0.1-0.3+0.1
Serbia vs Switzerland+0.0-0.2+0.1
Ghana vs Uruguay+0.1-0.2+0.0
Ecuador vs Senegal-0.1+0.1+0.1
Poland vs Argentina-0.0+0.1+0.0
Canada vs Morocco-0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
41-0-00314252716373000
20-1-05193127144100
10-0-1015111618192091
Total:0291617102420001477643310