Ecuador Playoff Chances 2022
Plays Senegal, playoff odds up 12.6 to 95.3%
4 points 1-1-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Qatar 0 Ecuador 2 | +25.6 | +0.7 | ||
| Qatar 1 Senegal 3 | -3.6 | |||
| Netherlands 1 Ecuador 1 | +3.1 | +0.0 | ||
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Netherlands 11 Qatar 29 | +8.7 | +0.5 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Ecuador vs Senegal | InIn-22.0 | +0.2+0.2-1.0 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Ecuador finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | |||
| 5 | -7 | In | 100 | 7,258,645 | * | |||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 73.3 | % | 73 | 27 | 1,555,131 | ||||
| Total: | 95.3 | % | 82 | 13 | 5 | 8,813,776 | ||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Qatar 0 Ecuador 2 | -5.8 | |
| Netherlands 1 Ecuador 1 | +0.2 | |
| Qatar 1 Senegal 3 | +0.2 | |
| Tunisia 0 Australia 1 | -0.1 | |
| Argentina 2 Mexico 0 | -0.1 | |
| Mexico 0 Poland 0 | -0.1 | |
| Denmark 0 Tunisia 0 | -0.1 | |
| Morocco 0 Croatia 0 | -0.1 | |
| Uruguay 0 South Korea 0 | -0.1 | |
| Senegal 0 Netherlands 2 | +0.1 | |
| France 2 Denmark 1 | +0.0 | |
| Germany 1 Japan 2 | +0.0 | |
| Poland 2 Saudi Arabia 0 | +0.0 | |
| Switzerland 1 Cameroon 0 | +0.0 | |
| Spain 7 Costa Rica 0 | +0.0 | |
| Belgium 1 Canada 0 | +0.0 | |
| Brazil 2 Serbia 0 | +0.0 | |
| France 4 Australia 1 | +0.0 | |
| Argentina 1 Saudi Arabia 2 | +0.0 | |
| Portugal 3 Ghana 2 | +0.0 | |
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Netherlands 11 Qatar 29 | -2.0 | |
| Japan 0 Costa Rica 1 | -0.1 | |
| South Korea 2 Ghana 3 | -0.1 | |
| Croatia 4 Canada 1 | +0.0 | |
| Spain 1 Germany 1 | -0.0 | |
| Portugal 2 Uruguay 0 | +0.0 | |
| Brazil 1 Switzerland 0 | +0.0 | |
| Belgium 0 Morocco 2 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Ecuador vs Senegal | -2.4+0.6+7.8 | |
| South Korea vs Portugal | -0.4-0.3+0.2 | |
| Cameroon vs Brazil | -0.4-0.3+0.1 | |
| Tunisia vs France | -0.4-0.1+0.2 | |
| Japan vs Spain | -0.2-0.3+0.1 | |
| Poland vs Argentina | +0.1-0.2-0.2 | |
| Canada vs Morocco | -0.2-0.1+0.0 | |
| Wales vs England | -0.1-0.2+0.0 | |
| Croatia vs Belgium | +0.0-0.1-0.1 | |
| Saudi Arabia vs Mexico | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| Serbia vs Switzerland | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 22 | 24 | 22 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 28 | 70 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16 | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 1 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:45 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
