SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

Costa Rica Playoff Chances 2022

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.7 to 31.8%

3 points 1-0-1

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/20	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Spain 7 Costa Rica 0	-25.1		-0.6
Germany 1 Japan 2	-0.3

Week of 11/27	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Japan 0 Costa Rica 1	+32.8		+0.7
Spain 1 Germany 1	+0.1		-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Costa Rica vs Germany	In+40.1Out		+1.4+0.9-0.7
Japan vs Spain	-7.9-14.8+5.8		-0.2-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Costa Rica finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

6		1	-	0	-	0	In		24	76			1,500,453
4		0	-	1	-	0	71.9	%		72	28		1,810,179
3		0	-	0	-	1	Out				20	80	5,503,144

Total:							31.8	%	4	28	19	50	8,813,776

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20	100.0*	Lottery seed
Spain 7 Costa Rica 0	+5.3
Tunisia 0 Australia 1	+0.2
Argentina 2 Mexico 0	+0.2
Germany 1 Japan 2	+0.1
Wales 0 Iran 2	+0.1
Argentina 1 Saudi Arabia 2	+0.0

Week of 11/27	100.0*	Lottery seed
Japan 0 Costa Rica 1	-8.0
Netherlands 11 Qatar 29	+0.5
Cameroon 3 Serbia 3	-0.4
South Korea 2 Ghana 3	+0.2
Portugal 2 Uruguay 0	-0.1
Croatia 4 Canada 1	-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Costa Rica vs Germany	-9.3-3.7+3.7
South Korea vs Portugal	+0.6-0.1-0.1
Tunisia vs France	+0.5-0.1-0.1
Cameroon vs Brazil	+0.6-0.0-0.0
Canada vs Morocco	+0.5-0.1+0.0
Japan vs Spain	+0.4+0.2-0.1
Wales vs England	+0.4-0.0-0.0
Serbia vs Switzerland	+0.3-0.2-0.1
Ghana vs Uruguay	-0.1-0.2+0.2
Saudi Arabia vs Mexico	-0.2-0.2+0.2
Australia vs Denmark	-0.1-0.2+0.2
Ecuador vs Senegal	-0.1+0.2+0.2
Croatia vs Belgium	-0.0+0.1+0.2
Poland vs Argentina	-0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

6		1	-	0	-	0		0	0	0	2	6	9	7	11	26	22	13	4	0
4		0	-	1	-	0													0	49	22		10	12	5	1	0	0
3		0	-	0	-	1																		0	1	5	14	25	27	18	8	2	0	0	0	0

Total:								0	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	4	4	2	1	10	5		2	2	2	3	9	15	17	11	5	1	0	0	0	0