China PR Playoff Chances 2ndround2018Beat Bhutan 6-0, playoff odds up 23.1 to 48.3% 3 points 1-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/11 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed | Maldives 0 Qatar 1 | -0.4 | | -0.4 | | -0.1 | | Hong Kong 7 Bhutan 0 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | Laos 2 Myanmar 2 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | Malaysia 1 Timor-Leste 1 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | Bangladesh 1 Kyrgyzstan 3 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | India 1 Oman 2 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Afghanistan 0 Syria 6 | *-0.1 | | *-0.1 | | | | Yemen 0 North Korea 1 | *-0.1 | | *-0.1 | | | | Lebanon 0 Kuwait 1 | *-0.1 | | *-0.1 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Chinese Taipei vs Indonesia | +0.2*+0.1-0.3 | | +0.2*+0.1-0.3 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the China finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Qualified | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19,749 | | 22 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 82 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 65,477 | | 21 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 55 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 126,621 | | 20 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 35 | 40 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 92,614 | | 19 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 14 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 347,086 | | 18 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 99.5 | % | 99.5 | % | 2 | 8 | 16 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 314,041 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 3 | 14 | 25 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 70,736 | | 17 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.8 | | 99.8 | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 386,904 | | 16 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 91.7 | | 91.7 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 681,165 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 99.6 | | 99.6 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 31,750 | | 15 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 61.3 | | 61.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 385,932 | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 82.6 | | 82.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 225,209 | | 14 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 38.8 | | 38.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 581,391 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 61.8 | | 61.8 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8,367 | | 13 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 6.2 | | 6.2 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 640,481 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 13.4 | | 13.4 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 73,040 | | 12 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0.2 | | 0.2 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | 254,175 | | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.5 | | 0.5 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 22 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 243,848 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 2.9 | | 2.9 | | | | | | | | | 2 | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,261 | | 11 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | 392,119 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12,366 | | 10 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 23 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 304,835 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 24 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 50,018 | | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 1 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 85 | | 9 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 104,508 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 90,157 | | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | | | 1 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 29 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | 882 | | 8 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 119,018 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 4,079 | | 7 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 68,650 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 10,421 | | 6 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | | 15,856 | | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15,409 | | 5 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 12,905 | | 4 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 5,990 | | 3 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 7 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 38 | 27 | 1,415 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 48.3 | % | 48.3 | % | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5,758,560 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |