SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

China PR Playoff Chances 2ndround2018

Beat Bhutan 6-0, playoff odds up 23.1 to 48.3%

3 points 1-0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 6/11	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Qualified	100.0*	Average seed
Maldives 0 Qatar 1	-0.4		-0.4		-0.1
Hong Kong 7 Bhutan 0	-0.1		-0.1		-0.1
Laos 2 Myanmar 2	+0.1		+0.1
Malaysia 1 Timor-Leste 1	+0.1		+0.1
Bangladesh 1 Kyrgyzstan 3	-0.1		-0.1
India 1 Oman 2	-0.1		-0.1
Afghanistan 0 Syria 6	*-0.1		*-0.1
Yemen 0 North Korea 1	*-0.1		*-0.1
Lebanon 0 Kuwait 1	*-0.1		*-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chinese Taipei vs Indonesia	+0.2*+0.1-0.3		+0.2*+0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the China finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in				Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Qualified		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32	33	34	35	36	37	38	39	40	Count

24		7	-	0	-	0	In		Yes		97	3	0																																						19,749
22		6	-	1	-	0	In		Yes		82	17	2	0	0	0																																			65,477
21		6	-	0	-	1	In		Yes		55	33	9	1	0	0			2	0																															126,621
20		5	-	2	-	0	In		Yes		35	40	19	5	1	0	0	0	0	0																															92,614
19		5	-	1	-	1	In		Yes		14	29	26	13	4	1	0	0	12	0	0																														347,086
18		5	-	0	-	2	99.5	%	99.5	%	2	8	16	17	11	4	1	0	34	5	0	0	0				1																								314,041
		4	-	3	-	0	In		Yes		3	14	25	25	15	6	1	0	9	1	0	0																													70,736
17		4	-	2	-	1	99.8		99.8		0	2	8	15	17	12	5	1	28	11	2	0	0	0			0																								386,904
16		4	-	1	-	2	91.7		91.7		0	0	1	3	6	8	6	2	25	25	12	3	1	0	0		8	0	0																						681,165
		3	-	4	-	0	99.6		99.6		0	0	2	7	15	19	13	4	17	15	6	1	0	0	0		0																								31,750
15		4	-	0	-	3	61.3		61.3			0	0	0	0	1	3	2	6	16	19	13	6	2	0	0	28	3	0	0					0																385,932
		3	-	3	-	1	82.6		82.6			0	0	0	1	5	8	6	8	19	21	13	5	1	0	0	10	1	0	0																					225,209
14		3	-	2	-	2	38.8		38.8				0	0	0	0	1	3	1	5	12	17	14	8	2	0	26	9	1	0	0				0																581,391
		2	-	5	-	0	61.8		61.8						0	2	6	12	1	7	15	19	15	7	2	0	11	3	0		0																				8,367
13		3	-	1	-	3	6.2		6.2						0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	8	10	8	3	24	24	12	4	1	0	0		1	0															640,481
		2	-	4	-	1	13.4		13.4							0	0	2	0	0	3	8	14	16	10	3	19	17	7	2	0	0	0		0	0															73,040
12		3	-	0	-	4	0.2		0.2								0	0		0	0	0	1	2	5	5	6	18	24	19	10	3	1	0	4	0	0	0					0								254,175
		2	-	3	-	2	0.5		0.5								0	0		0	0	0	2	5	10	9	7	18	22	16	7	2	0	0	2	0	0														243,848
		1	-	6	-	0	2.9		2.9									2			0	1	4	10	18	12	6	15	15	11	4	1	0		0	0															1,261
11		2	-	2	-	3	0.0		0.0									0				0	0	0	2	7	1	4	12	21	22	15	6	1	6	2	0	0	0		0		0								392,119
		1	-	5	-	1	0.0		0.0									0				0	0	1	5	13	1	5	14	21	21	11	4	1	3	1	0	0													12,366
10		2	-	1	-	4	Out		No															0	0	2	0	0	1	5	13	22	23	12	7	9	5	2	0	0	0	0	0	0							304,835
		1	-	4	-	2	Out		No															0	0	4	0	0	2	6	16	24	22	9	6	6	3	1	0	0			0	0							50,018
		0	-	7	-	0	Out		No																	8		1	5	2	21	31	18	5	6	2	1														85
9		1	-	3	-	3	Out		No																0	0		0	0	0	2	8	22	29	2	7	11	9	5	2	0	0	1	0	0						104,508
		2	-	0	-	5	Out		No																	0			0	0	1	5	17	25	3	8	13	13	8	3	1	0	2	0	0	0					90,157
		0	-	6	-	1	Out		No																	2				1	3	10	27	29	3	8	8	6	2	1			0								882
8		1	-	2	-	4	Out		No																	0				0	0	1	6	29	0	2	7	13	16	13	6	1	4	2	0	0	0				119,018
		0	-	5	-	2	Out		No																	0					0	1	9	35	0	3	8	12	14	10	4	1	2	1	0						4,079
7		1	-	1	-	5	Out		No																							0	0	12	0	0	1	4	10	20	21	11	5	8	5	2	1	0	0		68,650
		0	-	4	-	3	Out		No																							0	1	16		0	1	4	12	21	19	8	5	7	3	1	0	0	0		10,421
6		1	-	0	-	6	Out		No																									1				0	1	7	19	24	3	9	14	12	7	2	0		15,856
		0	-	3	-	4	Out		No																								0	4			0	0	2	8	22	25	2	8	12	10	5	1	0	0	15,409
5		0	-	2	-	5	Out		No																									0					0	1	7	26	1	4	11	18	17	11	4	1	12,905
4		0	-	1	-	6	Out		No																															0	1	13	0	0	3	10	21	26	19	7	5,990
3		0	-	0	-	7	Out		No																																	2		0	0	1	8	23	38	27	1,415

Total:							48.3	%	48.3	%	4	4	4	4	3	3	2	1	9	6	5	4	3	3	2	2	9	6	4	4	3	3	3	3	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5,758,560

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs