How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Belgium 1 Canada 0 +25.6
+0.7
Morocco 0 Croatia 0 +1.0
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Belgium 0 Morocco 2 -26.0
-0.6
Croatia 4 Canada 1 -2.5
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Croatia vs BelgiumOut-6.2In
-0.1-0.1+1.1
Canada vs Morocco+9.6-0.2-0.2
-0.4+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Belgium finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
61-0-0In2377615,492
40-1-01.0%1991,809,424
30-0-1Out9826,388,860
Total:7.2%269218,813,776
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Belgium 1 Canada 0 -5.6
Morocco 0 Croatia 0 -0.2
Uruguay 0 South Korea 0 -0.1
Tunisia 0 Australia 1 -0.1
Argentina 2 Mexico 0 -0.0
France 2 Denmark 1 +0.0
Qatar 1 Senegal 3 +0.0
Portugal 3 Ghana 2 +0.0
Switzerland 1 Cameroon 0 +0.0
Brazil 2 Serbia 0 +0.0
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Belgium 0 Morocco 2 +5.1
Netherlands 11 Qatar 29 +0.4
Cameroon 3 Serbia 3 -0.4
Croatia 4 Canada 1 +0.3
South Korea 2 Ghana 3 +0.2
Japan 0 Costa Rica 1 -0.1
Spain 1 Germany 1 -0.1
Portugal 2 Uruguay 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Croatia vs Belgium+1.7-2.3-10.9
Cameroon vs Brazil+0.8-0.1-0.1
South Korea vs Portugal+0.8-0.1-0.1
Tunisia vs France+0.7-0.2-0.2
Serbia vs Switzerland+0.3-0.1-0.1
Ghana vs Uruguay-0.2-0.2+0.3
Japan vs Spain+0.2+0.3-0.1
Saudi Arabia vs Mexico-0.1-0.2+0.2
Poland vs Argentina-0.1+0.3+0.2
Australia vs Denmark-0.1-0.1+0.2
Wales vs England+0.3-0.0-0.0
Costa Rica vs Germany-0.1-0.2+0.1
Ecuador vs Senegal-0.1+0.2+0.2
Canada vs Morocco-0.1-0.2+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
61-0-00013685342613400
40-1-00000000443914200
30-0-115162523169410000
Total:00000102210000997121817126310000