Australia Playoff Chances 2022
Did not play, playoff odds down 0.006 to 56.6%
3 points 1-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| France 4 Australia 1 | -25.1 | -0.6 | ||
| Tunisia 0 Australia 1 | +18.5 | +0.8 | ||
| Denmark 0 Tunisia 0 | +1.0 | |||
| France 2 Denmark 1 | +0.6 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Australia vs Denmark | In+25.7Out | +0.6+0.3-0.7 | ||
| Tunisia vs France | -16.9+3.6+3.6 | -0.3+0.1+0.1 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Australia finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | |||
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 12 | 88 | 3,503,429 | |||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 82.4 | % | 82 | 18 | 1,806,679 | ||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | Out | 82 | 18 | 3,503,668 | |||||
| Total: | 56.6 | % | 5 | 52 | 36 | 7 | 8,813,776 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Tunisia 0 Australia 1 | -7.8 | |
| France 4 Australia 1 | +5.3 | |
| Argentina 2 Mexico 0 | +0.2 | |
| Denmark 0 Tunisia 0 | -0.2 | |
| Wales 0 Iran 2 | +0.1 | |
| France 2 Denmark 1 | -0.0 | |
| Qatar 1 Senegal 3 | -0.0 | |
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Cameroon 3 Serbia 3 | -0.3 | |
| Spain 1 Germany 1 | -0.1 | |
| Netherlands 11 Qatar 29 | +0.1 | |
| Belgium 0 Morocco 2 | +0.1 | |
| South Korea 2 Ghana 3 | +0.1 | |
| Croatia 4 Canada 1 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Australia vs Denmark | -6.0-1.1+6.6 | |
| South Korea vs Portugal | +0.3-0.0-0.0 | |
| Cameroon vs Brazil | +0.3-0.0-0.0 | |
| Canada vs Morocco | +0.1-0.2+0.1 | |
| Wales vs England | +0.3-0.0-0.0 | |
| Ghana vs Uruguay | +0.0-0.2+0.1 | |
| Costa Rica vs Germany | +0.0-0.2+0.1 | |
| Serbia vs Switzerland | +0.1-0.2+0.0 | |
| Ecuador vs Senegal | -0.1+0.2+0.1 | |
| Saudi Arabia vs Mexico | +0.0-0.2+0.1 | |
| Tunisia vs France | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |
| Croatia vs Belgium | +0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
| Japan vs Spain | +0.1+0.1-0.0 | |
| Poland vs Argentina | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 35 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 9 | 52 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:45 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
