"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsQualifiedChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920+Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Jordan311-0-0251.6%-3.851.6%-3.834455567333444442332413.3-0.3621.534Jordan
Australia311-0-0151.6+25.751.6+25.734445567333444442232413.4+7.421.516Australia
Kyrgyzstan31-0-1127.9-27.627.9-27.611122334233344443444418.2-5.3121.517Kyrgyzstan
Tajikistan10-1-1-24.5-3.54.5-3.500000011000111221128528.2-0.3732.403Tajikistan
Bangladesh10-1-1-23.3-4.73.3-4.700000011000111120118929.8-2.0432.403Bangladesh

Second Round of Three Rounds

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/11
Tajikistan 1 Jordan 3
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Jordan+17.9
+17.9
+5.4
Australia-0.3
-0.3
-0.1
Kyrgyzstan-0.4
-0.4
-0.1
Tajikistan-15.0
-15.0
-5.0
Bangladesh-0.3
-0.3
-0.1
Bangladesh 1 Kyrgyzstan 3
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Jordan-0.4
-0.4
-0.1
Australia-0.3
-0.3
-0.1
Kyrgyzstan+17.9
+17.9
+5.4
Tajikistan-0.3
-0.3
-0.1
Bangladesh-15.0
-15.0
-5.0
Malaysia 1 Timor-Leste 1
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Jordan+0.2
+0.2
Australia+0.1
+0.1
Tajikistan+0.1
+0.1
Bangladesh+0.1
+0.1
Laos 2 Myanmar 2
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Jordan+0.1
+0.1
Kyrgyzstan+0.1
+0.1
Tajikistan+0.1
+0.1
Bangladesh+0.2
+0.2
Yemen 0 North Korea 1
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Tajikistan-0.1
-0.1
Bangladesh-0.1
-0.1
Lebanon 0 Kuwait 1
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Jordan*-0.1
*-0.1
Australia*-0.1
*-0.1
Tajikistan*-0.1
*-0.1
Afghanistan 0 Syria 6
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Australia*-0.1
*-0.1
Bangladesh-0.1
-0.1
Maldives 0 Qatar 1
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Kyrgyzstan-0.1
-0.1
India 1 Oman 2
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Kyrgyzstan*-0.1
*-0.1
Cambodia 0 Singapore 4
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Australia*-0.1
*-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs IndonesiaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Jordan51.851.851.3
51.851.851.3
Australia51.8*51.751.3
51.8*51.751.3
Kyrgyzstan28.128.127.6
28.128.127.6
Tajikistan4.54.64.4
4.54.64.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.