How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points Behind 1st  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well the Nico Rosberg finish out the regular season.   Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance driver will finish the season at position
TPAverage123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627Count
222256731302,007
215233449161251
2122224541930254
209221645309244
20822124433101388
2072174237122244
2052143342192979
2032042941234240
20220194627801,063
2012014403971485
20020103840131751
1991983441152965
19819734391721,614
19719529422134,080
19618424422651,122
19518323412752,225
19418319403261,564
19318216393591,422
192181133637123,528
1911773344172,429
190176304520013,107
18917426482202,860
18816323472704,541
187162204632013,023
18616217483404,514
18516214453905,319
184161124345015,616
18315083952015,509
1821533264016,637
18115227717,878
180142178136,187
17914188118,952
178141386118,918
17714982039,757
17614982022,233
17513982031,932
1741397340,304
17313973052,048
172129730101,013
17112964045,429
17012955050,964
16912955056,153
16812946044,164
16711937089,214
16611937064,635
165119280217,994
164109010066,369
1631089110106,025
1621088120199,516
1611086130106,509
160108515088,892
159984160257,535
158981180162,957
157980201247,594
156878221127,468
155876231368,432
154872261128,055
153869301254,525
152866332334,052
151765332244,189
150761363287,767
149760373375,119
148657394417,459
147656404880,751
1466484660348,703
1456474760221,642
1446434980414,885
1435405190220,850
14253753100483,382
14153554110341,914
140430561401,055,893
13942756170207,467
13842357200571,581
13742257210726,371
13641958240489,042
13531858250194,767
134314582801,061,190
13331357300183,631
13221054360975,388
1312953370173,032
1302751410895,642
1292548460162,535
128245550818,318
127144560152,275
126138620744,260
125137630144,576
124032680733,204
123031690662,189
12202773002,319,293
Total:000003040290020,000,000
RaceFinishStartLapsBehindPoints
Bahrain Grand Prix555740.213 secs10
Australian Grand Prix565816.683 secs10
Malaysian Grand Prix325613.504 secs15
Chinese Grand Prix34569.484 secs15
Grand Prix Of Spain13801+ Laps
Grand Prix Of Monaco76786.651 secs6
Turkish Grand Prix565832.266 secs10
Grand Prix Of Canada6107056.084 secs8
Grand Prix Of Europe10126044.382 secs1
British Grand Prix356021.307 secs15
Grand Prix Of Germany8901+ Laps4
Hungarian Grand Prix22615Retired
Belgian Grand Prix60012.359 secs8
Italian Grand Prix50029.942 secs10
Singapore Grand Prix50049.394 secs10
Japanese Grand Prix
Korean Grand Prix
Grand Prix Of Brazil
Abu Dahbi Grand Prix
568122