How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/4100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Going to WC100.0*Average seed
Wales vs Moldova+7.4-3.6-8.9
+9.3-4.3-11.5
+4.8-2.0-6.0
Serbia vs Republic of Ire-0.2+1.0-0.6
-0.2+1.1-0.6
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Georgia vs Austria-0.2+1.0-0.6
-0.2+1.1-0.6
-0.1+0.3-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Wales finish out the group.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inGoingChance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-Lnext roundto WC12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849505152Count
3010-0-0InYes1000497,178
289-1-0InYes991001,621,873
279-0-1100.0%100.0%9820002,574,804
268-2-0100.0100.09540005,136,833
258-1-199.899.989101000016,190,537
248-0-299.499.77819200010022,259,693*
237-2-198.899.4623061000100044,948,263
227-1-295.497.738371641000500070,084,678
6-4-098.599.3413815300001000011,596,369
216-3-193.896.919342611300006000072,289,590
7-0-387.593.7163125113000012100000036,241,784
206-2-283.891.8518262110300013200000000177,620,010*
196-1-364.681.414111817103002011300002000172,577,402
5-4-177.688.6151422201130014710000100074,228,235
185-3-255.375.800281517103012169310003000000234,059,780*
6-0-439.765.300251012820141912510008100000066,043,281
175-2-328.256.200013711614121714720001141000000000349,826,936
4-5-144.068.5000151216814111512510005100000050,464,791
165-1-47.931.800000133101511141140014158200005000000265,967,698
4-4-217.445.3000026730271417124001010410000100000195,149,487*
154-3-32.920.20000011000261213304111512620008300000000391,282,541
5-0-50.710.700000000013782031116148300016610000100080,347,928
3-6-18.933.5000143001391716303912941003100000022,732,404
144-2-40.14.2000000000143001510141250011149310004000000443,221,243
3-5-20.610.200000000031061026131713500895200001000104,185,973*
134-1-50.00.300000000000026910281415115100157200001000265,952,947
3-4-30.01.100000011100014111420281414931008310000000267,373,916*
123-3-40.00.0000000000142000371315800914115100040000391,286,866
4-0-6Out0.00000000021000251012700101714720009100066,049,748
2-6-20.00.10000000002105101310171670071073100100034,618,607*
113-2-5Out0.000000000000002611201613161361013610000349,823,287
2-5-3Out0.000000011100013101620271415104108310000104,751,067*
102-4-4OutNo0000000000163101391617800101483100199,583,338*
3-1-6OutNo000000000320002714168001217114100172,565,495*
92-3-5OutNo000000111000141216204131915720228,624,155
3-0-7OutNo000000100001391420414211893036,306,756*
1-6-3OutNo00000012100016161820412161251022,735,238
82-2-6OutNo00000000003105115142323133168,048,053
1-5-4OutNo0000000000413611514222010251,022,236*
71-4-5OutNo00000004520141427291374,244,375
2-1-7OutNo00000003410141427311572,220,232*
61-3-6OutNo0000121001518383572,272,454
2-0-8OutNo0000121001417383618,169,505*
51-2-7OutNo0000100017316154,531,531*
41-1-8OutNo0000002178116,199,669
0-4-6OutNo00000002187911,597,579
30-3-7OutNo00000089212,136,560*
20-2-8OutNo00003975,133,056
10-1-9OutNo001991,623,196
00-0-10OutNo0100497,799
Total:16.7%24.9%22222221022222221022222220022222220022222220022222225,608,516,976

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Next Round