SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holding my newborn
4 a.m.

Serbia World Cup Odds 2018

Season start, next round odds unchanged at 16.7%

0 points 0-0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/4	100.0*	Chance in next round	100.0*	Going to WC	100.0*	Average seed
Serbia vs Republic of Ire	+7.4-3.6-8.9		+9.3-4.3-11.5		+4.8-2.0-6.0
Wales vs Moldova	-0.2+1.0-0.6		-0.2+1.1-0.6		-0.1+0.3-0.1
Georgia vs Austria	-0.2+1.0-0.6		-0.2+1.1-0.6		-0.1+0.3-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Serbia finish out the group. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Going		Chance will finish group at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	next round		to WC		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32	33	34	35	36	37	38	39	40	41	42	43	44	45	46	47	48	49	50	51	52	Count

30		10	-	0	-	0	In		Yes		100	0																																																			498,018
28		9	-	1	-	0	In		Yes		99	1	0																																																		1,624,154
27		9	-	0	-	1	100.0	%	100.0	%	98	2	0	0						0																																											2,575,049
26		8	-	2	-	0	100.0		100.0		95	4	0	0						0																																											5,135,449
25		8	-	1	-	1	99.8		99.9		89	10	1	0	0					0	0																																										16,192,475
24		8	-	0	-	2	99.4		99.7		78	19	2	0	0	0				1	0								0																																		22,263,540	*
23		7	-	2	-	1	98.8		99.4		62	30	6	1	0	0	0			1	0	0							0																																		44,947,501
22		7	-	1	-	2	95.4		97.7		38	37	16	4	1	0	0	0		5	0	0	0						0																																		70,099,881
		6	-	4	-	0	98.5		99.3		41	38	15	3	0	0	0	0		1	0	0							0																																		11,591,598
21		6	-	3	-	1	93.8		96.9		19	34	26	11	3	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0					0	0																																	72,280,458
		7	-	0	-	3	87.5		93.7		16	31	25	11	3	0	0	0	0	12	1	0	0						0	0								0																									36,239,313
20		6	-	2	-	2	83.8		91.8		5	18	26	21	10	3	0	0	0	13	2	0	0	0	0				0	0								0																									177,620,639	*
19		6	-	1	-	3	64.6		81.4		1	4	11	18	17	10	3	0	0	20	11	3	0	0	0	0			2	0	0							0	0																								172,577,779
		5	-	4	-	1	77.6		88.6		1	5	14	22	20	11	3	0	0	14	7	1	0	0	0	0			1	0	0							0																									74,220,519
18		5	-	3	-	2	55.3		75.8		0	0	2	8	15	17	10	3	0	12	16	9	3	1	0	0	0		3	0	0	0	0					0	0																								234,069,237	*
		6	-	0	-	4	39.7		65.3		0	0	2	5	10	12	8	2	0	14	19	12	5	1	0	0	0		8	1	0	0	0					0	0								0																66,037,052
17		5	-	2	-	3	28.2		56.2		0	0	0	1	3	7	11	6	1	4	12	17	14	7	2	0	0	0	11	4	1	0	0	0				0	0	0							0																349,833,949
		4	-	5	-	1	44.0		68.5		0	0	0	1	5	12	16	8	1	4	11	15	12	5	1	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	0				0	0																								50,482,814
16		5	-	1	-	4	7.9		31.8			0	0	0	0	1	3	3	1	0	1	5	11	14	11	4	0	0	14	15	8	2	0	0	0	0		5	0	0	0	0					0	0															265,980,968
		4	-	4	-	2	17.4		45.3			0	0	0	0	2	6	7	3	0	2	7	14	17	12	4	0	0	10	10	4	1	0	0	0			1	0	0	0	0					0	0															195,165,649	*
15		4	-	3	-	3	2.9		20.2					0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	6	12	13	3	0	4	11	15	12	6	2	0	0	0	8	3	0	0	0	0	0			0	0	0														391,247,780
		5	-	0	-	5	0.7		10.7					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	8	2	0	3	11	16	14	8	3	0	0	0	16	6	1	0	0	0	0			1	0	0							0							80,361,184
		3	-	6	-	1	8.9		33.5					0	0	0	1	4	3	0	0	1	3	9	17	16	3	0	3	9	12	9	4	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0				0	0															22,728,889
14		4	-	2	-	4	0.1		4.2							0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	1	4	3	0	0	1	5	10	14	12	5	0	0	11	14	9	3	1	0	0			4	0	0	0	0					0	0						443,231,105
		3	-	5	-	2	0.6		10.2							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	10	6	1	0	2	6	13	17	13	5	0	0	8	9	5	2	0	0	0			1	0	0	0	0												104,179,874	*
13		4	-	1	-	5	0.0		0.3								0	0	0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	9	1	0	2	8	14	15	11	5	1	0	0	15	7	2	0	0	0	0			1	0	0					265,976,349
		3	-	4	-	3	0.0		1.1								0	0	0				0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	4	11	14	2	0	2	8	14	14	9	3	1	0	0	8	3	1	0	0	0	0			0	0	0					267,359,704	*
12		3	-	3	-	4	Out		0.0																0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	0	0	3	7	13	15	8	0	0	9	14	11	5	1	0	0			4	0	0	0	0			391,337,388
		4	-	0	-	6	0.0		0.0										0							0	0	0			0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	2	5	10	12	7	0	0	10	17	14	7	2	0	0	0		9	1	0	0	0			66,131,839	*
		2	-	6	-	2	0.0		0.1									0	0						0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	2	10	5	1	0	1	3	10	17	16	7	0	0	7	10	7	3	1	0	0			1	0	0	0	0			34,552,670
11		3	-	2	-	5	Out		0.0																	0	0	0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	11	2	0	1	6	13	16	12	6	1	0		13	6	1	0	0	0	0	349,828,624
		2	-	5	-	3	Out		0.0																	0	0	0				0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	3	10	16	2	0	2	7	14	15	10	4	1	0		8	3	1	0	0	0	0	104,710,462	*
10		2	-	4	-	4	Out		No																		0	0						0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	1	6	3	1	0	1	3	9	16	17	8	0	0	10	14	8	3	1	0	0	193,048,499
		3	-	1	-	6	Out		No																			0						0	0	0	0			0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	2	7	14	16	8	0	0	12	17	11	4	1	0	0	179,122,407	*
9		2	-	3	-	5	Out		No																										0	0	0				0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	4	12	16	2	0	4	13	19	15	7	2	0	228,565,148
		3	-	0	-	7	Out		No																										0	0	0					0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	9	14	2	0	4	14	21	18	9	3	0	36,300,429	*
		1	-	6	-	3	Out		No																										0	0	0				0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	1	6	16	18	2	0	4	12	16	12	5	1	0	22,738,568
8		2	-	2	-	6	Out		No																											0	0						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	10	5	1	1	5	14	23	23	13	3	168,054,001
		1	-	5	-	4	Out		No																											0	0						0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	4	13	6	1	1	5	14	22	20	10	2	51,018,843	*
7		1	-	4	-	5	Out		No																																			0	0	0			0	0	0	0	4	5	2	0	1	4	14	27	29	13	74,243,303
		2	-	1	-	7	Out		No																																			0	0	0				0	0	0	3	4	1	0	1	4	14	27	31	15	72,203,302	*
6		1	-	3	-	6	Out		No																																			0	0	0					0	0	1	2	2	0	0	1	5	18	38	35	77,751,927	*
		2	-	0	-	8	Out		No																																				0	0				0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	4	16	38	38	12,695,199
5		1	-	2	-	7	Out		No																																					0						0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	7	31	61	54,528,209	*
4		1	-	1	-	8	Out		No																																												0	0	0		0	0	0	2	17	81	16,192,163
		0	-	4	-	6	Out		No																																					0							0	0	0		0	0	0	2	18	79	11,590,674
3		0	-	3	-	7	Out		No																																												0	0	0		0	0	0	0	8	92	12,124,888	*
2		0	-	2	-	8	Out		No																																													0	0				0	0	3	97	5,136,549
1		0	-	1	-	9	Out		No																																																			0	1	99	1,623,438
0		0	-	0	-	10	Out		No																																																				0	100	497,519

Total:							16.7	%	24.9	%	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	0	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	0	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	0	0	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	0	0	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	0	0	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	5,608,516,976

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Next Round