SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

Poland World Cup Odds 2018

Season start, next round odds unchanged at 16.7%

0 points 0-0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/4	100.0*	Chance in next round	100.0*	Going to WC	100.0*	Average seed
Kazakhstan vs Poland	-6.7-0.6+11.4		-8.3-0.4+14.0		-4.1+0.0+6.7
Romania vs Montenegro	-0.2+1.0-0.6		-0.2+1.1-0.6		-0.1+0.3-0.1
Denmark vs Armenia	-0.2+1.0-0.6		-0.2+1.1-0.6		-0.1+0.3-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Poland finish out the group. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Going		Chance will finish group at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	next round		to WC		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32	33	34	35	36	37	38	39	40	41	42	43	44	45	46	47	48	49	50	51	52	Count

30		10	-	0	-	0	In		Yes		100	0																																																			497,394
28		9	-	1	-	0	In		Yes		99	1	0	0																																																	1,622,011
27		9	-	0	-	1	100.0	%	100.0	%	98	2	0	0						0																																											2,576,813
26		8	-	2	-	0	100.0		100.0		95	4	0	0						0																																											5,132,419
25		8	-	1	-	1	99.8		99.9		89	10	1	0	0					0	0																																										16,188,447
24		8	-	0	-	2	99.4		99.7		78	19	2	0	0	0				1	0								0																																		22,252,732	*
23		7	-	2	-	1	98.8		99.4		62	30	6	1	0	0	0			1	0	0							0																																		44,950,281
22		7	-	1	-	2	95.4		97.7		38	37	16	4	1	0	0	0		5	0	0	0						0	0																																	70,098,031
		6	-	4	-	0	98.5		99.3		41	38	15	3	0	0	0	0		1	0	0							0																																		11,596,803
21		6	-	3	-	1	93.8		96.9		19	34	26	11	3	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0					0	0																																	72,270,678
		7	-	0	-	3	87.5		93.7		16	31	25	11	3	0	0	0	0	12	1	0	0	0					0	0								0																									36,229,998
20		6	-	2	-	2	83.8		91.8		5	18	26	21	10	3	0	0	0	13	2	0	0	0	0				0	0								0																									177,608,129	*
19		6	-	1	-	3	64.6		81.4		1	4	11	18	17	10	3	0	0	20	11	3	0	0	0	0			2	0	0							0																									172,561,808
		5	-	4	-	1	77.6		88.6		1	5	14	22	20	11	3	0	0	14	7	1	0	0	0	0			1	0	0							0																									74,224,957
18		5	-	3	-	2	55.3		75.8		0	0	2	8	15	17	10	3	0	12	16	9	3	1	0	0	0		3	0	0	0	0					0	0																								234,072,818	*
		6	-	0	-	4	39.7		65.3		0	0	2	5	10	12	8	2	0	14	19	12	5	1	0	0	0		8	1	0	0	0					0	0								0																66,039,059
17		5	-	2	-	3	28.2		56.2		0	0	0	1	3	7	11	6	1	4	12	17	14	7	2	0	0	0	11	4	1	0	0	0	0			0	0	0							0																349,846,417
		4	-	5	-	1	44.0		68.5		0	0	0	1	5	12	16	8	1	4	11	15	12	5	1	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	0				0	0																								50,483,629
16		5	-	1	-	4	7.9		31.8			0	0	0	0	1	3	3	1	0	1	5	11	14	11	4	0	0	14	15	8	2	0	0	0	0		5	0	0	0	0					0	0															265,983,050
		4	-	4	-	2	17.4		45.3			0	0	0	0	2	6	7	3	0	2	7	14	17	12	4	0	0	10	10	4	1	0	0	0	0		1	0	0	0	0					0	0															195,195,989	*
15		4	-	3	-	3	2.9		20.2				0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	6	12	13	3	0	4	11	15	12	6	2	0	0	0	8	3	0	0	0	0	0			0	0	0														391,301,838
		5	-	0	-	5	0.7		10.7					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	8	2	0	3	11	16	14	8	3	0	0	0	16	6	1	0	0	0	0			1	0	0							0							80,363,859
		3	-	6	-	1	8.9		33.5					0	0	0	1	4	3	0	0	1	3	9	17	16	3	0	3	9	12	9	4	1	0	0		3	1	0	0	0	0				0	0															22,727,981
14		4	-	2	-	4	0.1		4.2							0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	1	4	3	0	0	1	5	10	14	12	5	0	0	11	14	9	3	1	0	0	0		4	0	0	0	0					0							443,189,892
		3	-	5	-	2	0.6		10.2							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	10	6	1	0	2	6	13	17	13	5	0	0	8	9	5	2	0	0	0			1	0	0	0													104,180,326	*
13		4	-	1	-	5	0.0		0.3									0	0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	9	1	0	2	8	14	15	11	5	1	0	0	15	7	2	0	0	0	0			1	0	0	0				265,990,309
		3	-	4	-	3	0.0		1.1								0	0	0				0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	4	11	14	2	0	2	8	14	14	9	3	1	0	0	8	3	1	0	0	0	0			0	0	0					267,359,022	*
12		3	-	3	-	4	0.0		0.0										0						0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	0	0	3	7	13	15	8	0	0	9	14	11	5	1	0	0	0		4	0	0	0	0			391,295,972
		4	-	0	-	6	Out		0.0																0	0	0	0			0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	2	5	10	12	7	0	0	10	17	14	7	2	0	0			9	1	0	0	0			66,056,792
		2	-	6	-	2	0.0		0.1										0						0	0	0	0			0	0	0	2	10	5	1	0	1	3	10	17	16	7	0	0	7	10	7	3	1	0	0			1	0	0	0				34,618,420	*
11		3	-	2	-	5	Out		0.0																	0	0	0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	11	2	0	1	6	13	16	13	6	1	0		13	6	1	0	0	0	0	349,802,267
		2	-	5	-	3	Out		0.0																	0	0	0				0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	3	10	16	2	0	2	7	14	15	10	4	1	0		8	3	1	0	0	0	0	104,705,906	*
10		2	-	4	-	4	Out		No																		0	0					0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	1	6	3	1	0	1	3	9	16	17	8	0	0	10	14	8	3	1	0	0	193,074,407
		3	-	1	-	6	Out		No																			0						0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	2	7	14	16	8	0	0	12	17	11	4	1	0	0	179,120,368	*
9		2	-	3	-	5	Out		No																										0	0	0				0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	4	12	16	2	0	4	13	19	15	7	2	0	228,618,068
		3	-	0	-	7	Out		No																										0	0	0					0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	9	14	2	0	4	14	21	18	9	3	0	36,221,844
		1	-	6	-	3	Out		No																										0	0	0					0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	1	6	16	18	2	0	4	12	16	12	5	1	0	22,807,482	*
8		2	-	2	-	6	Out		No																											0	0						0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	3	10	5	1	1	5	14	23	23	13	3	168,022,020
		1	-	5	-	4	Out		No																											0	0						0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	4	14	6	1	1	5	14	22	20	10	2	51,019,605	*
7		1	-	4	-	5	Out		No																																			0	0	0			0	0	0	0	4	5	2	0	1	4	14	27	29	13	74,244,360
		2	-	1	-	7	Out		No																																			0	0	0			0	0	0	0	3	4	1	0	1	4	14	27	31	15	72,220,479	*
6		1	-	3	-	6	Out		No																																			0	0	0				0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	1	5	18	38	35	72,277,998
		2	-	0	-	8	Out		No																																			0	0	0					0	0	1	2	1	0	0	1	4	17	38	36	18,172,371	*
5		1	-	2	-	7	Out		No																																					0						0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	7	31	61	54,524,861	*
4		1	-	1	-	8	Out		No																																												0	0	0		0	0	0	2	17	81	16,188,505
		0	-	4	-	6	Out		No																																												0	0	0		0	0	0	2	18	79	11,593,455
3		0	-	3	-	7	Out		No																																												0	0	0		0	0	0	0	8	92	12,133,056	*
2		0	-	2	-	8	Out		No																																													0	0				0	0	3	97	5,134,119
1		0	-	1	-	9	Out		No																																																			0	1	99	1,622,193
0		0	-	0	-	10	Out		No																																																				0	100	497,738

Total:							16.7	%	24.9	%	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	0	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	0	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	0	0	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	0	0	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	0	0	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	5,608,516,976

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Next Round