"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/4100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Going to WC100.0*Average seed
Ukraine vs Iceland-8.5-0.4+14.2
-9.7-0.6+16.3
-3.8+0.2+6.1
Croatia vs Turkey-0.3+1.6-1.0
-0.2+1.3-0.7
-0.1+0.4-0.1
Bosnia and Herz vs Estonia-0.1+0.3-0.2
Cyprus vs Belgium-0.1+0.3-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Iceland finish out the group.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inGoingChance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-Lnext roundto WC12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849505152Count
248-0-0InYes782020002,000,292
227-1-0InYes393917410009,799,464
217-0-199.9%99.9%1734291541000000015,539,217
206-2-0100.0100.06192926145100000024,044,452
196-1-199.099.51514252718820100000075,749,130
186-0-294.797.300291928241111211000000059,233,088
5-3-099.199.500310222923910000000033,441,058
175-2-193.796.90001517323180122100000000156,789,173
165-1-279.989.800000213402400245531000000000243,267,223
4-4-092.196.00000317472500122210000000028,834,918
154-3-174.186.500023042000126971000000000178,791,583
5-0-355.275.5000121320001391513200110000000000124,861,910
144-2-245.365.800103600001930900011110000000000412,594,276
3-5-067.681.000165200001719500000000015,766,189
134-1-315.631.70114000131280000138101000000000419,872,758
3-4-133.549.603310001312500000233000000000121,227,467
123-3-27.414.60700144000015246000001000369,939,474
4-0-41.45.90100927000017371100011221000000000158,889,975
2-6-023.232.1023001843000031020000000005,347,513
113-2-30.21.10002190001322900000269100000000559,728,168
2-5-12.34.2020438001282200000122048,907,977
103-1-40.00.0002009300000163511000012210419,862,052
2-4-20.00.100800144200005236000000000184,917,015
1-7-00.40.60025001743000210200000001,026,854
92-3-3Out0.000022100013130000013660369,901,439
3-0-5Out0.00001100001283000001410121124,854,504
1-6-10.00.00030338001272300000122010,864,553
82-2-4OutNo0050001338000019276412,587,616
1-5-2Out0.00001100164300001718448,901,366
0-8-0OutNo00230204200149185,286
72-1-5OutNo000325000044127243,288,110
1-4-3OutNo0010434000043621121,245,385
0-7-1OutNo004064400329141,026,529
61-3-4OutNo00001600013448178,786,183
2-0-6OutNo0000110001355459,234,347
0-6-2OutNo00012400133415,343,430
51-2-5OutNo0006002372156,826,741
0-5-3OutNo00800246815,771,087
41-1-6OutNo010128775,704,180
0-4-4OutNo0020138528,839,569
30-3-5OutNo00069433,437,640
1-0-7OutNo00059515,540,903
20-2-6OutNo029824,048,067
10-1-7OutNo1999,797,294
00-0-8OutNo01002,001,521
Total:20.0%25.2%00011125900000127100000001810000000181000000128105,608,516,976
Points
Chance Will Make Next Round