"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/4100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Going to WC100.0*Average seed
Norway vs Germany-6.7-0.6+11.4
-8.3-0.4+13.9
-4.1+0.0+6.7
Czech Republic vs Northern Ireland-0.2+1.0-0.6
-0.2+1.1-0.6
-0.1+0.3-0.1
San Marino vs Azerbaijan-0.2+1.0-0.6
-0.2+1.1-0.6
-0.1+0.3-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Germany finish out the group.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inGoingChance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-Lnext roundto WC12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849505152Count
3010-0-0InYes1000497,590
289-1-0InYes99101,622,535
279-0-1100.0%100.0%9820002,574,894
268-2-0100.0100.09540005,129,812
258-1-199.899.989101000016,193,487
248-0-299.499.77819200010022,253,182*
237-2-198.899.4623061000100044,946,975
227-1-295.497.7383716410005000070,096,342
6-4-098.599.341381530000100011,595,866
216-3-193.896.9193426113000060000072,284,124
7-0-387.593.7163125113000012100000036,232,188
206-2-283.891.851826211030001320000000177,612,021*
196-1-364.681.414111817103002011300002000172,556,164
5-4-177.688.6151422201130014710000100074,242,389
185-3-255.375.800281517103012169310003000000234,053,864*
6-0-439.765.300251012820141912510008100000066,048,752
175-2-328.256.20001371161412171472000114100000000349,838,867
4-5-144.068.5000151216814111512510005100000050,482,080
165-1-47.931.80000133101511141140014158200005000000265,982,620
4-4-217.445.3000002673027141712400101041000010000195,182,446*
154-3-32.920.20000011000261213304111512620008300000000391,289,778
5-0-50.710.700000000013782031116148300016610000100080,343,753
3-6-18.933.500014300139171630391294100310000022,728,535
144-2-40.14.2000000000143001510141250011149310004000000443,227,219
3-5-20.610.20000000003106102613171350089520001000104,183,479*
134-1-50.00.30000000000002691028141511510015720000100265,966,107
3-4-30.01.100000011100014111420281414931008310000000267,373,487*
123-3-40.00.00000000001420003713158009141151000400000391,305,488
4-0-6Out0.000000000021000251012700101714720009100066,051,125
2-6-20.00.1000000002105101310171670071073100100034,624,130*
113-2-5Out0.00000000000002611201613161261013610000350,927,094*
2-5-3Out0.000000011100013101620271416114108310000103,633,003
102-4-4OutNo0000000000163101391617800101483100193,025,264
3-1-6OutNo0000000000320002714168001217114100179,103,794*
92-3-5OutNo000000111000141216204131915720228,595,246
3-0-7OutNo00000100001391420414211893036,308,016*
1-6-3OutNo0000012100016161820412161251022,730,928
82-2-6OutNo000000000003105115142323133168,042,314
1-5-4OutNo0000000000413611514222010251,013,514*
71-4-5OutNo00000004520141427291374,242,857
2-1-7OutNo00000003410141427311572,208,310*
61-3-6OutNo00000121001518383572,286,815
2-0-8OutNo0000121001417383618,166,843*
51-2-7OutNo00000100017316154,539,583*
41-1-8OutNo0000002178116,192,726
0-4-6OutNo0000002187911,600,347
30-3-7OutNo00000089212,129,486*
20-2-8OutNo00003975,129,114
10-1-9OutNo01991,625,088
00-0-10OutNo0100497,335
Total:16.7%24.9%22222221022222221022222220022222220022222220022222225,608,516,976

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Next Round