"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/4100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Going to WC100.0*Average seed
Denmark vs Armenia+7.4-3.6-8.9
+9.3-4.3-11.5
+4.8-2.0-6.0
Kazakhstan vs Poland-0.2+1.0-0.6
-0.2+1.1-0.6
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Romania vs Montenegro-0.2+1.0-0.6
-0.2+1.1-0.6
-0.1+0.3-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Denmark finish out the group.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inGoingChance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-Lnext roundto WC12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849505152Count
3010-0-0InYes1000497,701
289-1-0InYes99101,623,180
279-0-1100.0%100.0%9820002,579,796
268-2-0100.0100.095400005,134,118
258-1-199.899.989101000016,186,711
248-0-299.499.77819200010022,256,548*
237-2-198.899.4623061000100044,933,845
227-1-295.497.7383716410005000070,096,461
6-4-098.599.34138153000100011,593,378
216-3-193.896.9193426113000060000072,288,906
7-0-387.593.716312511300001210000036,226,296
206-2-283.891.8518262110300013200000000177,632,663*
196-1-364.681.41411181710300201130000200000172,577,713
5-4-177.688.6151422201130014710000100074,235,224
185-3-255.375.800281517103012169310003000000234,071,472*
6-0-439.765.300251012820141912510008100000066,041,753
175-2-328.256.20001371161412171472000114100000000349,835,396
4-5-144.068.50001512168141115125100051000000050,478,370
165-1-47.931.800000133101511141140014158200005000000266,009,621
4-4-217.445.30000267302714171240010104100001000000195,168,264*
154-3-32.920.20000011000261213304111512620008300000000391,266,922
5-0-50.710.700000000013782031116148300016610000100080,342,279
3-6-18.933.5000143001391716303912941003100000022,734,682
144-2-40.14.200000000143001510141250011149310004000000443,236,601
3-5-20.610.2000000003106102613171350089520001000104,174,112*
134-1-50.00.3000000000000026910281415115100157200001000265,982,709
3-4-30.01.100000011100014111420281414931008310000000267,361,092*
123-3-4Out0.000000000142000371315800914115100040000391,278,531
4-0-6Out0.00000000021000251012700101714720009100066,044,238
2-6-20.00.10000000002105101310171670071073100100034,622,228*
113-2-5Out0.0000000000000026112016131613610013610000349,822,271
2-5-3Out0.000000011100013101620271415104108310000104,721,902*
102-4-4OutNo00000000163101391617800101483100193,036,048
3-1-6OutNo000000000320002714168001217114100179,122,716*
92-3-5OutNo000000111000141216204131915720228,591,524
3-0-7OutNo000000100001391420414211893036,312,595*
1-6-3OutNo00000012100016161920412161251022,733,463
82-2-6OutNo000000000003105115142323133168,033,724
1-5-4OutNo00000000000413611514222010251,027,784*
71-4-5OutNo000000004520141427291374,232,565
2-1-7OutNo00000003410141427311572,218,940*
61-3-6OutNo0000121001518383572,286,940
2-0-8OutNo0000121001417383618,169,008*
51-2-7OutNo00000100017316154,530,878*
41-1-8OutNo0000002178116,189,172
0-4-6OutNo0000002187911,593,943
30-3-7OutNo00000089212,130,274*
20-2-8OutNo00003975,131,087
10-1-9OutNo01991,623,002
00-0-10OutNo00100498,330
Total:16.7%24.9%22222221022222221022222220022222220022222220022222225,608,516,976

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Next Round