How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/4100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Going to WC100.0*Average seed
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg+7.4-3.6-8.9
+9.3-4.3-11.5
+4.8-2.0-6.0
Belarus vs France-0.2+1.0-0.6
-0.2+1.1-0.6
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Sweden vs Netherlands-0.2+1.0-0.6
-0.2+1.1-0.6
-0.1+0.3-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Bulgaria finish out the group.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inGoingChance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-Lnext roundto WC12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849505152Count
3010-0-0InYes1000497,101
289-1-0InYes99101,624,226
279-0-1100.0%100.0%9820002,575,111
268-2-0100.0100.09540005,131,007
258-1-199.899.989101000016,192,181
248-0-299.499.77819200010022,255,816*
237-2-198.899.4623061000100044,939,306
227-1-295.497.7383716410005000070,088,593
6-4-098.599.341381530000100011,598,289
216-3-193.896.9193426113000060000072,289,239
7-0-387.593.7163125113000012100000036,224,256
206-2-283.891.851826211030001320000000177,607,320*
196-1-364.681.414111817103002011300002000172,566,965
5-4-177.688.6151422201130014710000100074,237,876
185-3-255.375.800281517103012169310003000000234,085,739*
6-0-439.765.300251012820141912510008100000066,044,719
175-2-328.256.20001371161412171472000114100000000349,850,792
4-5-144.068.50001512168141115125100051000000050,483,595
165-1-47.931.80000133101511141140014158200005000000265,985,240
4-4-217.445.30000026730271417124001010410001000000195,163,162*
154-3-32.920.20000011000261213304111512620008300000000391,325,899
5-0-50.710.700000000137820311161483000166100001000080,339,906
3-6-18.933.500014300139171630391294100310000022,727,544
144-2-40.14.20000000014300151014125001114931000400000443,226,117
3-5-20.610.20000000031061026131713500895200010000104,167,671*
134-1-50.00.300000000000012691028141511410015720000100272,519,638*
3-4-30.01.0000000011100014111420281414931008310000000260,828,968
123-3-4Out0.000000000142000371315800914115100040000391,292,638
4-0-6Out0.000000000210002510127001017147200091000066,043,657
2-6-20.00.1000000000021051013101716700710731001000034,617,644*
113-2-5Out0.000000000000002611201613161361013610000349,796,551
2-5-3Out0.000000011100013101620271415104108310000104,741,452*
102-4-4OutNo000000000163101391617800101483100193,037,756
3-1-6OutNo00000000000320002714168001217114100179,117,135*
92-3-5OutNo000000111000141216204131915720228,584,078
3-0-7OutNo000000100001391420414211893036,307,436*
1-6-3OutNo000000012100016161820412161251022,729,332
82-2-6OutNo000000000003105115142323133168,030,702
1-5-4OutNo0000000000413611514222010251,020,092*
71-4-5OutNo00000004520141427291374,240,707
2-1-7OutNo0000003410141427311572,211,758*
61-3-6OutNo000000121001518383572,294,841
2-0-8OutNo00000121001417383618,167,143*
51-2-7OutNo0000100017316154,539,061*
41-1-8OutNo0000002178116,187,079
0-4-6OutNo00000002187911,597,365
30-3-7OutNo00000089212,128,931*
20-2-8OutNo00003975,134,718
10-1-9OutNo01991,623,810
00-0-10OutNo0100496,814
Total:16.7%24.9%22222221022222221022222220022222220022222220022222225,608,516,976

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Next Round