"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Club Brugge vs Leicester City-17.5-2.1+18.9
-0.4-0.0+0.5
Porto vs København-0.7+2.1-0.7

What If

Chances based on how well the Leicester City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In100502,033*
155-0-1In991579,568
144-2-0In1000698,985
134-1-1In9372,011,807
124-0-299.8%732701,446,222
3-3-0In946647,710
113-2-199.9703002,792,543
103-1-294.3316364,024,216
2-4-099.967330337,183
92-3-189.52169111,943,642
3-0-363.03603601,928,544
82-2-247.71475114,193,016
1-5-082.312701893,730
72-1-39.5968224,020,644
1-4-127.3027666676,245
61-3-23.5357391,944,539
2-0-40.5040591,445,615
0-6-09.209741710,847
51-2-30.1027732,796,516
0-5-10.40376394,170
41-1-4Out8922,009,551
0-4-20.001288337,825
30-3-3Out397649,360
1-0-5Out199578,641
20-2-4Out0100699,649
0-1Out100501,071*
Total:50.0%2525252536,963,872

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Club Brugge vs Leicester City-3.6-0.4+3.9
Porto vs København-0.1+0.4-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-01312121213121313
165-1-01213121212131313
155-0-1000000001212121212121212
144-2-0000000001313131213121212
134-1-1111111111212121212121212
124-0-2000000003333333399999999
3-3-0111111111212121212121212
113-2-1000000004444444499999999
103-1-2111111118888888844444444
2-4-0000000004444444488889888
92-3-1111111119999999933333333
3-0-300000000555555557777787700000000
82-2-200000000666666666666666600000000
1-5-0222222229999999922222122
72-1-3333333339999999911111111
1-4-111111111888888883333333300000000
61-3-2555555557777777700000000
2-0-4777777775555555500000000
0-6-0322222221091098999111111110
51-2-3999999993333333300000000
0-5-1888888885555555500000000
41-1-4111211111111111111111111
0-4-21111111111111111211111210000000
30-3-3121212121212121200000000
1-0-5121212121212121200000000
20-2-4131212121313121200000000
10-1-51213121313121212
00-0-61313121313121213
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333