Germany Playoff Chances 2016
Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 72.4%
0 points 0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 6/10 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Round of 16 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Germany vs Poland | -31.2-3.2+15.6 | -7.4-2.5+5.0 | -5.3-1.0+3.0 | |||
| Germany vs Ukraine | -24.8-4.7+14.0 | -8.8-4.0+6.6 | -4.8-1.5+3.1 | |||
| Ukraine vs Northern Ireland | +3.7-4.5+1.6 | -3.7-0.2+1.7 | -0.0-0.4+0.3 | |||
| Poland vs Northern Ireland | +3.2-4.4+1.8 | -4.1-0.4+2.1 | -0.2-0.5+0.4 | |||
| France vs Romania | -0.4+0.3-0.1 | +0.6+0.2-0.4 | ||||
| Belgium vs Italy | -0.4+0.3-0.1 | +0.6+0.2-0.4 | ||||
| Spain vs Czech Republic | -0.4+0.3-0.1 | +0.6+0.2-0.4 | ||||
| England vs Russia | -0.4+0.3-0.1 | +0.6+0.2-0.4 | ||||
| Portugal vs Iceland | -0.4+0.3-0.1 | +0.6+0.2-0.4 | ||||
| England vs Wales | -0.2+0.3-0.2 | |||||
| Romania vs Switzerland | -0.2+0.3-0.2 | |||||
| Russia vs Slovakia | -0.2+0.3-0.2 | |||||
| France vs Albania | -0.2+0.3-0.2 | |||||
| Republic of Ire vs Sweden | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | +0.4+0.1-0.2 | ||||
| Wales vs Slovakia | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | +0.4+0.1-0.2 | ||||
| Albania vs Switzerland | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | +0.4+0.1-0.2 | ||||
| Turkey vs Croatia | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | +0.4+0.1-0.2 | ||||
| Austria vs Hungary | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | +0.4+0.1-0.2 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 6/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Round of 16 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Northern Ireland vs Germany | +20.9+10.1-16.1 | -1.9+0.5+0.5 | +3.8+1.8-2.9 | |||
| Ukraine vs Poland | +2.0-4.1+2.0 | +0.2-0.3+0.2 | +0.2-0.3+0.2 | |||
| Sweden vs Belgium | -0.3+0.2*+0.0 | +0.9+0.3-0.6 | ||||
| Slovakia vs England | -0.3+0.2*+0.0 | +0.9+0.3-0.6 | ||||
| Switzerland vs France | -0.3+0.2*-0.0 | +0.9+0.3-0.6 | ||||
| Hungary vs Portugal | -0.3+0.2*-0.0 | +0.9+0.3-0.6 | ||||
| Croatia vs Spain | -0.3+0.2*-0.0 | +0.9+0.3-0.6 | ||||
| Russia vs Wales | -0.2+0.3-0.2 | |||||
| Czech Republic vs Turkey | -0.2+0.3-0.2 | |||||
| Romania vs Albania | -0.2+0.3-0.2 | |||||
| Iceland vs Austria | -0.2+0.3-0.2 | |||||
| Italy vs Republic of Ire | -0.2+0.3-0.2 | |||||
| Spain vs Turkey | -0.2+0.3-0.2 | |||||
| Portugal vs Austria | -0.2+0.3-0.2 | |||||
| Iceland vs Hungary | -0.2+0.3-0.2 | |||||
| Czech Republic vs Croatia | -0.2+0.3-0.2 | |||||
| Italy vs Sweden | -0.2+0.3-0.2 | |||||
| Belgium vs Republic of Ire | -0.2+0.3-0.2 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Germany finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Round | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | of 16 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Count | ||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | Out | No | 74 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133,837,442 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 4.7 | % | No | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 30 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 538,274,369 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 45.9 | No | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 16 | 7 | 679,092,083 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 51.5 | No | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 685,204,710 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 68.6 | 1.1 | % | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1,669,246,393 | ||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 97.7 | 42.0 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 993,231,273 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 75.5 | 6.9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 263,124,663 | |||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.0 | 26.4 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 896,423,466 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 6.2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 30 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 961,437,779 | |||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 73 | 311,795,294 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 72.4 | % | 10.5 | % | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7,131,667,472 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:19 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
