"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsRound of 16Chance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Ukraine00-0-0073.0%9.1%45555644555544444433333411.51.500Ukraine
Germany00-0-0072.410.555555644444534444433333411.41.500Germany
Poland00-0-0061.46.633333344444455544465555513.61.500Poland
Northern Ireland00-0-0059.97.244333344443344544465555513.61.500Northern Ireland

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/10
Poland vs Northern IrelandIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine74.568.975.2
8.78.79.5
11.511.811.2
Germany75.668.074.2
6.410.112.6
11.511.911.0
Poland29.954.080.0
1.35.39.7
17.914.910.7
Northern Ireland87.971.439.8
11.18.14.9
9.012.016.7
Ukraine vs Northern IrelandHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine44.968.388.3
2.98.312.2
16.412.48.7
Germany76.167.974.1
6.810.312.3
11.411.811.0
Poland61.054.666.4
8.07.05.7
13.414.113.2
Northern Ireland88.069.241.3
15.58.03.1
8.412.416.7
Germany vs PolandHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine74.167.976.1
12.210.36.8
11.011.811.4
Germany41.369.288.0
3.18.015.5
16.712.48.4
Poland88.368.344.9
12.28.32.9
8.712.416.4
Northern Ireland66.454.661.0
5.77.08.0
13.214.113.4
Germany vs UkraineHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine93.680.458.8
10.611.36.8
7.29.914.4
Germany47.667.786.4
1.76.517.1
16.212.88.3
Poland65.656.662.9
6.26.56.9
13.214.013.4
Northern Ireland67.855.459.8
5.46.58.4
13.114.013.5
Spain vs Czech RepublicHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine72.673.372.9
9.69.28.7
Germany72.072.772.4
11.110.710.2
Poland61.061.761.3
7.06.76.3
Northern Ireland59.560.359.9
7.67.36.9
France vs RomaniaHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine72.673.372.9
9.69.28.7
Germany72.072.772.4
11.110.710.2
Poland61.061.761.3
7.06.76.3
Northern Ireland59.560.359.9
7.67.36.9
England vs RussiaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine72.673.372.9
9.69.28.7
Germany72.072.772.4
11.110.710.2
Poland61.061.761.3
7.06.76.3
Northern Ireland59.560.359.9
7.67.36.9
Belgium vs ItalyHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine72.673.372.9
9.69.28.7
Germany72.072.772.4
11.110.710.2
Poland61.061.761.3
7.06.76.3
Northern Ireland59.560.359.9
7.67.36.9
Portugal vs IcelandHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine72.673.372.9
9.69.28.7
Germany72.072.772.4
11.110.710.2
Poland61.061.761.3
7.06.76.3
Northern Ireland59.560.359.9
7.67.36.9
Russia vs SlovakiaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Northern Ireland59.760.359.7
Romania vs SwitzerlandHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Poland61.261.761.2
Northern Ireland59.760.359.7
France vs AlbaniaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Poland61.261.761.2
Northern Ireland59.760.359.7
England vs WalesHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Poland61.261.761.2
Northern Ireland59.760.359.7
Wales vs SlovakiaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine9.49.18.9
Germany10.910.610.3
Albania vs SwitzerlandHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine9.49.18.9
Germany10.910.610.3
Turkey vs CroatiaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine9.49.18.9
Germany10.910.610.3
Republic of Ire vs SwedenHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine9.49.18.9
Germany10.910.610.3
Austria vs HungaryHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine9.49.18.9
Germany10.910.610.3
Week of 6/17
Ukraine vs PolandIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine44.868.588.2
3.18.012.3
16.412.48.7
Germany74.568.374.5
10.710.210.7
11.211.711.2
Poland88.268.544.8
12.38.03.1
8.712.416.4
Northern Ireland62.754.462.7
7.17.47.1
13.314.113.3
Northern Ireland vs GermanyHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine78.069.773.1
5.37.811.6
11.511.911.2
Germany93.382.556.3
8.611.011.0
7.69.614.3
Poland68.356.961.6
4.55.78.1
13.214.013.3
Northern Ireland33.653.675.7
0.84.012.2
17.615.210.8
Sweden vs BelgiumHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine9.99.38.5
Germany11.410.89.9
Poland61.061.6*61.4
7.26.86.2
Northern Ireland59.660.1*59.9
7.87.46.8
Hungary vs PortugalHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine9.99.38.5
Germany11.410.89.9
Poland61.061.6*61.4
7.26.86.2
Northern Ireland59.660.1*59.9
7.87.46.8
Slovakia vs EnglandHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine9.99.38.5
Germany11.410.89.9
Poland61.061.661.4
7.26.86.2
Northern Ireland59.660.1*59.9
7.87.46.8
Switzerland vs FranceHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine9.99.38.5
Germany11.410.89.9
Poland61.061.661.4
7.16.86.2
Northern Ireland59.660.1*59.9
7.87.46.8
Croatia vs SpainHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Ukraine9.99.38.5
Germany11.410.89.9
Poland61.061.6*61.4
7.16.86.2
Northern Ireland59.660.1*59.9
7.87.46.8
Iceland vs AustriaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Poland61.261.761.2
Northern Ireland59.760.359.7
Italy vs Republic of IreHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Poland61.261.761.2
Northern Ireland59.760.359.7
Russia vs WalesHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Poland61.261.761.2
Northern Ireland59.760.359.7
Czech Republic vs TurkeyHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Poland61.261.761.2
Northern Ireland59.760.359.7
Romania vs AlbaniaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Poland61.261.761.2
Northern Ireland59.760.359.7
Italy vs SwedenHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Poland61.261.761.2
Northern Ireland59.760.359.7
Iceland vs HungaryHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Poland61.261.761.2
Northern Ireland59.760.359.7
Czech Republic vs CroatiaHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Poland61.261.761.2
Northern Ireland59.760.359.7
Portugal vs AustriaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Poland61.261.761.2
Northern Ireland59.760.359.7
Spain vs TurkeyHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Northern Ireland59.760.359.7
Belgium vs Republic of IreHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 16100.0*Average seed
Northern Ireland59.760.359.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.