How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
PSG 1 Arsenal 1 -2.1
-0.1
Basel 1 Ludogorets 1 +2.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Arsenal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
165-0-0In100262,694
144-1-0In1000903,006
134-0-1In9551,298,416
123-2-0In9641,255,901
113-1-1In76243,612,536
103-0-295.3%375852,599,204
2-3-0In7327873,042
92-2-193.4276673,767,826
82-1-254.12534515,417,031
1-4-086.8186913304,305
72-0-310.01068222,597,998
1-3-131.70316441,746,943
61-2-23.7459383,770,194
0-5-09.6010712042,116
51-1-3Out26743,613,323
0-4-10.513466303,131
41-0-4Out7931,300,072
0-3-2Out1189873,449
30-2-3Out1991,255,911
20-1-4Out0100904,172
10-0-5Out100262,602
Total:49.7%2525252536,963,872
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
PSG 1 Arsenal 1 -0.4
Basel 1 Ludogorets 1 +0.4

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
165-0-01213121212131313
144-1-0000000001212121213121212
134-0-1111111111212121212121212
123-2-0111111111212121212121212
113-1-1333333331010101010101010
103-0-2111111117777777755555555
2-3-03333333399999999
92-2-1111111118888888833333333
82-1-200000000666666667777777700000000
1-4-0222222229999999922222222
72-0-3333333338898988911111111
1-3-111111111888888884444444400000000
61-2-2555555557777777700000000
0-5-022222222999999991111111100000000
51-1-39999999933333333
0-4-1888888884444444400000000
41-0-4121212121212121211111111
0-3-2111111111111111111111111
30-2-3121212121212121200000000
20-1-4121213131212131300000000
10-0-51213121213131213
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333