Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change1234Avg.ChangeRPI
Arsenal165-1-010In1001.02Arsenal
Sporting CP134-1-110In1002.011Sporting CP
Vorskla31-0-5-9Out1003.0+0.3934Vorskla
Qarabağ31-0-5-11Out1004.0-0.3934Qarabağ

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/29
Qarabağ 1 Sporting CP 6
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Arsenal-0.1
Sporting CPIn
+0.3
VorsklaOut
+0.1
QarabağOut
-0.3
Vorskla 0 Arsenal 3
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Arsenal+0.1
Sporting CP+7.3
VorsklaOut
-0.3
Qarabağ+2.5
+0.2
Milan 5 F91 Dudelange 2
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sporting CP*-0.1
Week of 12/13
Sporting CP 3 Vorskla 0
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Vorskla-0.3
Qarabağ+0.3
Arsenal 1 Qarabağ 0
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Vorskla+0.3
Qarabağ-0.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.