How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Gateshead FC 0 Wrexham 3 +0.1
+0.5
-6.6
+1.1
Dartford 1 Nuneaton Town 2 -0.4
Cambridge United 1 Gateshead FC 0 -0.3
Nuneaton Town 2 Hereford United 1 -0.1
Macclesfield Town 0 Alfreton Town 1 -0.3
Kidderminster H 2 Hyde FC 1 -0.3
Tamworth 0 Kidderminster H 3 -0.3
Lincoln City FC 1 Southport 0 -0.1
Welling United 5 Forest Green Ro 2 +0.2
Luton Town 3 Dartford 0 -0.2
Aldershot Town 3 Barnet 3 -0.1
FC Halifax Town 4 Grimsby Town 0 +0.1
Salisbury City 3 Chester FC 1 -0.2
Hyde FC 0 Woking 2 +0.2
Chester FC 2 Macclesfield Town 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Aldershot Town vs Wrexham-0.1-0.0+0.3
-0.6-0.1+1.1
+2.3-0.2-3.8
-0.7-0.0+1.2
Wrexham vs Braintree Town+0.2-0.1-0.2
+0.8-0.3-0.8
-3.0+0.8+3.4
+0.9-0.3-1.0
Nuneaton Town vs Salisbury City-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Hereford United vs Lincoln City FC+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Dartford vs Kidderminster H+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.0-0.3
Barnet vs Macclesfield Town-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2*-0.0+0.4
Forest Green Ro vs Tamworth-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.2*+0.0+0.3
Woking vs Luton Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Salisbury City vs Hyde FC-0.1-0.0+0.3
Southport vs Alfreton Town+0.1-0.0-0.1
FC Halifax Town vs Hereford United-0.1-0.0+0.1
Hyde FC vs Welling United+0.2-0.1-0.1
Welling United vs Aldershot Town-0.1-0.0+0.2
Grimsby Town vs Dartford-0.2-0.0+0.3
Chester FC vs Grimsby Town+0.3-0.1-0.2
Macclesfield Town vs Woking+0.1-0.1-0.0
Tamworth vs Gateshead FC*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Gateshead FC vs Chester FC+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Wrexham finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
67-122YesYes100No32,620*
535-27-5NoNo100No1
4614-23-0NoNo100No1
453-25-9NoNo100Yes2
412-24-11NoNo5050Yes2
392-22-13NoNo3664Yes22
382-21-14NoNo102169Yes29*
3715-21-1NoNo25502525.0%4*
361-22-14NoNo5050Yes2
351-21-15NoNo2575Yes4*
331-19-17NoNo668994.418*
321-18-18NoNo449295.824*
311-17-19NoNo397Yes66*
301-16-20NoNo100Yes40*
291-15-21NoNo496Yes45*
284-5-28NoNo11119898.3176*
272-10-25NoNo11119797.3187*
262-9-26NoNo199Yes159*
253-5-29NoNo100Yes30*
2411-0-26NoNo2123056Yes57*
233-23-11NoNo35314304691.937*
221-8-28NoNo100Yes4*
2110-0-27NoNo59918273286.422*
202-23-12NoNo20101010203060.010*
184-25-8NoNo2020402080.05
174-24-9NoNo91823272372.722
1615-0-22NoNo04102428195201710.2372*
146-25-6NoNo255025No4
137-1-29NoNo991Yes11
126-3-28NoNo51580Yes184*
110-0-37NoNo100Yes32,619
1013-0-24NoNo1212194516565.9126
82-11-24NoNo100Yes211
712-0-25NoNo13293924495.872
5-6YesYes100No3*
43-24-1035.7%35.7%36432164.314*
1-3YesYes100No63*
03-20-1415.715.71615235584.3522*
-12-12-2325.425.4250186574.4532*
-23-18-1618.518.618002225781.01,271*
-327-5-582.582.7831021416.2573*
-43-16-1828.028.22811125971.43,330*
-526-6-562.563.0622043235.52,449*
-626-5-683.384.48350011112.13,137*
-725-7-586.688.38770166.75,124*
-825-6-685.487.88590054.98,245*
-924-8-580.183.280120077.613,719*
-1024-7-674.678.375141001010.523,230*
-1124-6-776.281.4762010032.933,402*
-1223-8-672.279.0722520010.650,908*
-1323-7-766.574.866294000.277,145*
-1423-6-858.869.15935600No116,135*
-1522-8-751.063.35139910No170,358*
-1622-7-842.556.9434313200No247,027*
-1721-9-734.350.7344418300No352,996*
-1821-8-826.144.62644245100No493,702*
-1921-7-918.839.11942309100No679,725*
-2020-9-812.834.5133634143000No923,659*
-2120-8-98.030.8830372051000No1,236,395*
-2220-7-104.627.95223626920000No1,626,975*
-2319-9-92.325.621532311541000No2,103,943*
-2419-8-101.023.31925332282000No2,683,138*
-2519-7-110.420.7051831281441000No3,364,011*
-2618-9-100.117.2021125312182000No4,157,294*
-2718-8-110.013.101517292715510000No5,056,134*
-2817-10-100.08.9002102329221030000No6,056,041*
-2917-9-110.05.1001515262717720000No7,138,534*
-3017-8-120.02.50002819282413410000No8,288,384*
-3116-10-110.01.000013112328211030000No9,473,655*
-3216-9-12No0.30001515252718720000No10,675,677*
-3316-8-13No0.100002718272515510000No11,832,574*
-3415-10-12No0.00003102127231241000No12,922,038*
-3515-9-13No0.00001412232720930000No13,890,624*
-3615-8-14No0.000001515252718720000No14,706,892*
-3714-10-13NoNo00002718272515510000No15,319,652*
-3814-9-14NoNo0000392028231241000No15,728,820*
-3914-8-15NoNo00014122328219200000.015,876,691*
-4013-10-14NoNo0001515262718720000.015,789,201*
-4113-9-15NoNo00002718282614510000.015,438,700*
-4212-11-14NoNo000031022292311300000.014,872,584*
-4312-10-15NoNo0001413252819720000.214,086,261*
-4412-9-16NoNo00001617282715510000.813,133,162*
-4511-11-15NoNo00003102230231020002.612,046,818*
-4611-10-16NoNo000141427291861006.910,862,131*
-4711-9-17NoNo0000282030251230014.79,632,204*
-4810-11-16NoNo000131326301961026.58,395,323*
-4910-10-17NoNo000017203127122041.17,192,826*
-5010-9-18NoNo00003132732195056.66,058,408*
-519-11-17NoNo0001721332710170.75,011,511*
-529-10-18NoNo0000314303316382.04,076,183*
-539-9-19NoNo00029253624589.83,251,299*
-548-11-18NoNo0015183631994.82,541,310*
-558-10-19NoNo00021233381497.61,954,314*
-568-9-20NoNo001828432198.91,473,998*
-577-11-19NoNo000422442999.61,089,091*
-587-10-20NoNo000216443899.8788,397*
-597-9-21NoNo00111414799.9558,556*
-606-11-20NoNo00173756100.0386,648*
-616-10-21NoNo0043164100.0262,635*
-626-9-22NoNo0022672100.0173,112*
-635-11-21NoNo012178Yes113,307*
-645-10-22NoNo011684Yes68,828*
-655-9-23NoNo001287Yes43,388*
-665-8-24NoNo0991Yes26,191*
-674-10-23NoNo0793Yes15,136*
-684-9-24NoNo0496Yes8,332*
-694-8-25NoNo0397Yes3,929*
Total:0.4%2.2%0112334455666777665543219.7%314,765,712

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)