Weston-super-Mare Title Chances 2012-2013 50/50Tied Salisbury City 1-1, title odds down 0.1 to 0.04% 47 points 13-8-10 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Salisbury City 1 Weston-S-Mare 1 | -0.1 | | -0.8 | | -0.0 | | -0.2 | | Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2 | -0.1 | | | | | | +0.1 | | Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3 | | | -0.3 | | | | | | Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0 | | | -0.3 | | | | | | Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2 | | | -0.4 | | | | -0.1 | | Eastleigh 1 Eastbourne 0 | | | -0.2 | | | | -0.1 | | Havant and W 3 Sutton United 0 | | | +0.2 | | | | +0.1 | | Bromley 2 Dorchester Town 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Farnborough 1 AFC Hornchurch 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | +0.0 | | Truro City 1 Hayes and Y 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | +0.1 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Weston-S-Mare vs Chelmsford City | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | +2.6-0.7-2.1 | | | | +1.0-0.2-0.9 | | Maidenhead vs Dover Athletic | | | +0.3+0.1-0.3 | | | | | | Eastbourne vs Dorchester Town | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Sutton United vs Bromley | | | -0.0+0.1*-0.0 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Weston-S-Mare vs Salisbury City | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | +2.3-0.7-1.9 | | | | +1.0-0.2-0.8 | | Chelmsford City vs AFC Hornchurch | | | -0.3+0.0+0.3 | | | | | | Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge | | | -0.3+0.0+0.3 | | | | | | Dover Athletic vs Havant and W | | | -0.3+0.0+0.3 | | | | | | Dorchester Town vs Boreham Wood | | | +0.2+0.2-0.4 | | | | | | Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood | | | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | | | | | Maidenhead vs Eastleigh | | | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Eastbourne vs Farnborough | | | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Sutton United vs Truro City | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Bromley vs Truro City | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Hayes and Y vs Sutton United | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Dorchester Town vs Farnborough | | | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City | | | | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Weston-S-Mare finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 80 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 54.6 | % | 65.9 | % | 55 | 41 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,756 | | 78 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 30.9 | | 48.2 | | 31 | 53 | 15 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,895 | | 77 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 19.2 | | 39.4 | | 19 | 53 | 25 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,676 | | 76 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 12.8 | | 34.6 | | 13 | 50 | 33 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,469 | | 75 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 6.0 | | 29.5 | | 6 | 40 | 44 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,755 | | 74 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 2.4 | | 26.8 | | 2 | 29 | 49 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,278 | * | 73 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.9 | | 25.6 | | 1 | 19 | 50 | 26 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 58,954 | | 72 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0.3 | | 25.0 | | 0 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 103,553 | * | 71 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.1 | | 24.5 | | 0 | 5 | 35 | 42 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 149,772 | * | 70 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 23.7 | | 0 | 2 | 23 | 44 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 253,809 | * | 69 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 21.9 | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 39 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 224,310 | | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 22.4 | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 41 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 133,894 | | 68 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 19.7 | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 41 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 383,149 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 19.1 | | | 0 | 6 | 29 | 41 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 93,415 | * | 67 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 15.7 | | | 0 | 3 | 19 | 41 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 549,082 | | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 16.8 | | | 0 | 3 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 112,736 | | 66 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 11.9 | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 38 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 402,528 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 10.7 | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 39 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 398,996 | * | 65 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 7.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 41 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 766,347 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 6.8 | | | | 0 | 4 | 23 | 41 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 178,311 | * | 64 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 3.2 | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 823,680 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 4.0 | | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 283,894 | * | 63 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 1.4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 697,059 | * | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 1.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 471,158 | | 62 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 0.3 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 960,087 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | 0.5 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 130,980 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 112,754 | * | 61 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 821,431 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 382,002 | * | 60 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 710,732 | * | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 393,468 | | 59 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 767,430 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 131,091 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 81,024 | * | 58 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 548,215 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 287,593 | * | 57 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 402,842 | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 250,114 | * | 56 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 490,311 | * | 55 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 235,436 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 114,443 | * | 54 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 133,481 | | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 90,864 | * | 53 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 136,809 | * | 52 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 77,512 | * | 51 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | 0.9 | | 38,119 | * | 50 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | | 3.5 | | 16,491 | * | 49 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 28 | 10 | 1 | | 11.0 | | 6,612 | | 48 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 37 | 22 | 4 | | 26.3 | | 1,889 | | 47 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 34 | 11 | | 44.9 | | 1,762 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 4.8 | % | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 13,466,968 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |