Weston-super-Mare Title Chances 2012-2013Tied Salisbury City 1-1, title odds down 0.008 to 0.003% 47 points 13-8-10 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Salisbury City 1 Weston-S-Mare 1 | -0.1 | | | | +0.0 | | Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2 | | | | | +0.1 | | Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3 | -0.2 | | | | | | Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0 | -0.2 | | | | | | Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2 | -0.3 | | | | | | Havant and W 3 Sutton United 0 | +0.1 | | | | +0.1 | | Eastleigh 1 Eastbourne 0 | -0.1 | | | | -0.1 | | Farnborough 1 AFC Hornchurch 1 | +0.1 | | | | +0.0 | | Truro City 1 Hayes and Y 0 | | | | | +0.1 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Weston-S-Mare vs Chelmsford City | +1.7-0.4-1.2 | | | | +0.9-0.1-0.7 | | Maidenhead vs Dover Athletic | +0.2+0.0-0.2 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Eastbourne vs Dorchester Town | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Weston-S-Mare vs Salisbury City | +1.6-0.4-1.0 | | No-0.0+0.0 | | +0.9-0.1-0.6 | | Dorchester Town vs Boreham Wood | +0.4+0.1-0.4 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Dover Athletic vs Havant and W | -0.2+0.1+0.3 | | | | | | Chelmsford City vs AFC Hornchurch | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Maidenhead vs Eastleigh | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | | | | | | Eastbourne vs Farnborough | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Dorchester Town vs Farnborough | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Sutton United vs Truro City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Hayes and Y vs Sutton United | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | Bromley vs Truro City | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Basingstoke vs Maidenhead | | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Weston-S-Mare finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 80 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 17.7 | % | 38.2 | % | 18 | 59 | 22 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,690 | | 78 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 3.9 | | 27.9 | | 4 | 41 | 45 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,333 | | 77 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 1.6 | | 26.2 | | 2 | 30 | 49 | 18 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,988 | | 76 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0.8 | | 25.5 | | 1 | 20 | 50 | 26 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,818 | | 75 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | 24.9 | | 0 | 10 | 43 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,685 | | 74 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 24.5 | | 0 | 5 | 33 | 43 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,886 | * | 73 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 23.9 | | 0 | 2 | 23 | 45 | 26 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 48,546 | | 72 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 22.6 | | | 1 | 14 | 41 | 36 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 88,924 | * | 71 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 20.8 | | | 0 | 7 | 33 | 43 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 131,755 | * | 70 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 18.1 | | | 0 | 3 | 24 | 46 | 26 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 227,287 | * | 69 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 14.5 | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 43 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 208,908 | | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | 15.1 | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 44 | 36 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 120,589 | | 68 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 11.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 357,385 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 10.6 | | | | 0 | 7 | 35 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 89,298 | * | 67 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 7.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 52 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 526,518 | | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 7.9 | | | | 0 | 4 | 27 | 52 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 104,412 | | 66 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 4.1 | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 50 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 392,996 | * | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 4.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 51 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 384,869 | | 65 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 2.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 753,225 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 2.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 175,747 | * | 64 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 41 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 824,961 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 1.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 41 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 277,905 | * | 63 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 0.3 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 39 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 670,696 | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 37 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 507,112 | * | 62 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 37 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 977,426 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 130,163 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 37 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 116,634 | * | 61 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 848,540 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 386,691 | * | 60 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 687,018 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 447,112 | * | 59 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 794,582 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 135,431 | * | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 84,001 | | 58 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 570,268 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 296,719 | * | 57 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 417,049 | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 259,272 | * | 56 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 506,508 | * | 55 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 33 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 242,915 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 117,557 | * | 54 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 144,478 | * | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 86,106 | | 53 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 139,097 | * | 52 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 78,050 | * | 51 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 37,731 | * | 50 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0.2 | | 16,279 | * | 49 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 36 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | 1.1 | | 6,300 | | 48 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 20 | 4 | 0 | | 4.7 | | 1,762 | | 47 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 34 | 12 | 1 | | 13.4 | | 1,746 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 2.4 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 13,466,968 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |