Watford Title Chances 50/50Lost to Blackburn 0-1, title odds down 1 to 2.3% 4 points 1-1-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Premier League | 100.0* | Football League One | 100.0* | Average seed | Watford 0 Blackburn 1 | -1.1 | | -2.0 | | +3.1 | | -1.1 | | Rotherham 1 Leicester 2 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Huddersfield 0 Norwich 4 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Ipswich 3 Leeds 4 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | Preston 2 Swansea 1 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Birmingham 2 Plymouth 1 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Southampton 2 QPR 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Hull 1 Bristol City 1 | | | +0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Coventry 0 Sunderland 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | West Brom 4 Middlesbrough 2 | | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Millwall 1 Stoke 0 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Premier League | 100.0* | Football League One | 100.0* | Average seed | Coventry vs Watford | -0.8-0.3+1.0 | | -1.6-0.5+2.0 | | +3.7+0.6-4.2 | | -1.1-0.2+1.3 | | Leicester vs Hull | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | | | Rotherham vs Norwich | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | | Birmingham vs Millwall | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | Sunderland vs Southampton | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Ipswich vs Cardiff | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | | | Stoke vs Preston | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | West Brom vs Huddersfield | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | | | Plymouth vs Blackburn | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | | | | Leeds vs Sheffield W | | | | | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | | | Swansea vs Bristol City | | | | | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | | | | Middlesbrough vs QPR | | | | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Watford finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | Premier | Chance will finish season at seed | Football | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | League | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | League One | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | -130 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,392 | * | 97 | | 28 | - | 9 | - | 5 | 99.3 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 271 | * | 95 | -96 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,205 | * | 94 | | 27 | - | 9 | - | 6 | 99.4 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,181 | * | 93 | | 27 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,906 | * | 92 | | 26 | - | 10 | - | 6 | 99.4 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,029 | * | 91 | | 26 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 99.0 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,556 | * | 90 | | 26 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 98.3 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,238 | * | 89 | | 25 | - | 10 | - | 7 | 97.6 | | 100.0 | % | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,724 | * | 88 | | 25 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 96.3 | | 99.9 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,363 | * | 87 | | 25 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 94.9 | | 99.9 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,682 | * | 86 | | 24 | - | 10 | - | 8 | 92.7 | | 99.8 | | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,629 | * | 85 | | 24 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 89.6 | | 99.6 | | 90 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 46,646 | * | 84 | | 23 | - | 11 | - | 8 | 85.6 | | 99.3 | | 86 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 64,483 | * | 83 | | 23 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 81.2 | | 98.7 | | 81 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 88,848 | * | 82 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 74.9 | | 97.7 | | 75 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 119,959 | * | 81 | | 22 | - | 11 | - | 9 | 67.6 | | 95.7 | | 68 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 160,385 | * | 80 | | 22 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 59.1 | | 92.6 | | 59 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 211,258 | * | 79 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 49.7 | | 87.9 | | 50 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 274,279 | * | 78 | | 21 | - | 11 | - | 10 | 39.7 | | 81.0 | | 40 | 41 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 350,155 | * | 77 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 29.9 | | 71.6 | | 30 | 42 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 442,575 | * | 76 | | 20 | - | 12 | - | 10 | 20.8 | | 59.9 | | 21 | 39 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 548,601 | * | 75 | | 20 | - | 11 | - | 11 | 13.1 | | 46.6 | | 13 | 34 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 673,572 | * | 74 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 7.4 | | 32.7 | | 7 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 814,581 | * | 73 | | 19 | - | 12 | - | 11 | 3.5 | | 20.3 | | 4 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 974,039 | * | 72 | | 19 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 1.5 | | 10.9 | | 1 | 9 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,145,917 | * | 71 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.5 | | 4.7 | | 0 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,332,458 | * | 70 | | 18 | - | 12 | - | 12 | 0.1 | | 1.6 | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,523,582 | * | 69 | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 0.4 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,722,636 | * | 68 | | 17 | - | 13 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 27 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,919,434 | * | 67 | | 17 | - | 12 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,113,352 | * | 66 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 2,291,545 | * | 65 | | 16 | - | 13 | - | 13 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 2,446,516 | * | 64 | | 16 | - | 12 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 25 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 2,582,351 | * | 63 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 2,685,118 | * | 62 | | 15 | - | 13 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 2,755,423 | * | 61 | | 15 | - | 12 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 2,785,355 | * | 60 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 2,775,725 | * | 59 | | 14 | - | 13 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 2,729,461 | * | 58 | | 14 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 2,646,074 | * | 57 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | | 2,528,418 | * | 56 | | 13 | - | 13 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.1 | | 2,379,780 | * | 55 | | 13 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6.8 | | 2,207,516 | * | 54 | | 13 | - | 11 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 16.2 | | 2,017,438 | * | 53 | | 12 | - | 13 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 30.7 | | 1,819,572 | * | 52 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 47.8 | | 1,612,535 | * | 51 | | 11 | - | 14 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 7 | 64.5 | | 1,408,179 | * | 50 | | 11 | - | 13 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 33 | 33 | 12 | 78.1 | | 1,210,144 | * | 49 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 39 | 20 | 87.7 | | 1,027,848 | * | 48 | | 10 | - | 14 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 42 | 30 | 93.7 | | 857,007 | * | 47 | | 10 | - | 13 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 41 | 40 | 97.0 | | 703,217 | * | 46 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 50 | 98.6 | | 568,174 | * | 45 | | 9 | - | 14 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 59 | 99.4 | | 448,787 | * | 44 | | 9 | - | 13 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 68 | 99.8 | | 350,396 | * | 43 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 76 | 99.9 | | 269,762 | * | 42 | | 8 | - | 14 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | 100.0 | | 203,436 | * | 41 | | 8 | - | 13 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 87 | 100.0 | | 150,722 | * | 40 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 91 | 100.0 | | 109,834 | * | 39 | | 7 | - | 14 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | Yes | 78,298 | * | 38 | | 7 | - | 13 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 54,700 | * | 37 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 37,604 | * | 36 | | 7 | - | 11 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 25,242 | * | 35 | | 6 | - | 13 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 16,601 | * | 34 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 10,908 | * | 33 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 6,773 | * | 32 | | 5 | - | 13 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 4,266 | * | 4 | -31 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 11,931 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.3 | % | 5.0 | % | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14.4 | % | 58,450,592 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |