How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Arsenal 2 Watford 0 -2.6
-6.8
+1.4
-0.9
Manchester City 2 Brighton & Hove 0 -0.4
-0.5
-0.1
Chelsea 1 Liverpool 1 +0.3
+0.3
Huddersfield Town 0 Tottenham Hotspur 2 -0.2
-0.5
-0.1
Newcastle United 0 Leicester City 2 -0.1
-0.4
*-0.1
Wolverhampton 2 Southampton 0 -0.1
-0.3
West Ham United 3 Manchester United 1 *+0.1
+0.2
+0.1
Bournemouth 2 Crystal Palace 1 -0.1
-0.2
Cardiff City 1 Burnley 2 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Watford vs Bournemouth+2.3-0.6-1.9
+7.2-1.6-6.1
-1.9+0.2+1.8
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Southampton vs Chelsea+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Tottenham Hotspur vs Cardiff City-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.5+0.2+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Fulham vs Arsenal+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.3+0.2-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Liverpool vs Manchester City-0.1+0.2-0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Manchester United vs Newcastle United-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Leicester City vs Everton-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.2+0.1
Burnley vs Huddersfield Town-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Brighton & Hove vs West Ham United+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Watford finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
91-106YesYes100No87,616*
9024-5-299.8%Yes1000No548*
87-89YesYes100No7,206*
8623-4-499.9Yes1000No7,139*
8522-6-399.9Yes1000No12,966*
8422-5-499.8Yes1000No22,349*
8322-4-599.7Yes1000No38,234*
8221-6-499.6Yes1000No63,308*
8121-5-599.3Yes991No102,487*
8021-4-698.9Yes9910No163,957*
7920-6-598.3Yes9820No257,075*
7820-5-697.4Yes9730No391,661*
7719-7-596.1Yes9640No585,372*
7619-6-694.3Yes94600No860,695*
7519-5-791.8Yes92800No1,235,571*
7418-7-688.5Yes881100No1,743,385*
7318-6-784.1100.0%8415100No2,413,853*
7218-5-878.5100.07820200No3,277,371*
7117-7-771.6100.07225300No4,370,565*
7017-6-863.4100.063315000No5,725,004*
6916-8-754.1100.054378100No7,352,665*
6816-7-844.199.94441132000No9,280,667*
6716-6-934.099.73443194000No11,499,969*
6615-8-824.399.124422571000No14,004,245*
6515-7-916.097.6163832122000No16,748,930*
6415-6-109.494.3931351951000No19,682,023*
6314-8-94.987.85223526102000No22,713,855*
6214-7-102.177.0213303217510000No25,753,125*
6114-6-110.861.5172232251120000No28,692,207*
6013-8-100.243.00313273019610000No31,407,827*
5913-7-110.025.001618302714410000No33,755,715*
5812-9-100.011.500292330231020000No35,660,410*
5712-8-110.03.9000313262919720000No37,004,417*
5612-7-120.00.90001516282816510000No37,713,843*
5511-9-11No0.1000171929261441000No37,749,583*
5411-8-12No0.00002921292412300000No37,116,045*
5311-7-13No0.000003102329221020000No35,822,888*
5210-9-12No0.000013122429208200000.0%33,946,175*
5110-8-13NoNo0001414262919710000.031,580,249*
5010-7-14No0.000001515272817610000.028,817,259*
499-9-13NoNo00001618282614410000.125,805,170*
489-8-14NoNo0000282029251230000.422,672,056*
479-7-15NoNo000031123302292002.119,536,444*
468-9-14NoNo00014142729186106.716,486,237*
458-8-15NoNo000016183027133016.313,651,593*
448-7-16NoNo0002102432227130.811,065,357*
437-9-15NoNo0001416313115348.28,788,222*
427-8-16NoNo00029243524665.16,830,485*
417-7-17NoNo00141734331178.95,184,796*
406-9-16NoNo000021029401988.53,856,923*
396-8-17NoNo001522432994.32,798,915*
386-7-18NoNo000215424097.41,983,282*
375-9-17NoNo00110385199.01,373,374*
365-8-18NoNo0006326299.6929,097*
355-7-19NoNo003267199.9610,286*
344-9-18NoNo0022079100.0389,866*
334-8-19NoNo0011585100.0242,059*
324-7-20NoNo001090100.0146,354*
314-6-21NoNo00793100.085,783*
303-8-20NoNo0595Yes48,467*
293-7-21NoNo0397Yes26,183*
283-6-22NoNo298Yes13,894*
272-8-21NoNo199Yes7,061*
262-7-22NoNo199Yes3,435*
252-6-23NoNo0100Yes1,580*
241-8-22NoNo0100Yes639*
13-23NoNo100Yes87,583*
Total:5.5%26.2%577777776665544332214.6%700,293,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship