SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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we’re in the Wall Street Journal

Torquay United Title Chances 2020-2021 50/50

Did not play, title odds down 13.1 to 37.5%

77 points 23-8-8

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 5/8	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Sutton United 3 Woking 2	-16.0		-13.3		-0.2
Sutton United 2 Weymouth 0	-11.1		-9.2		-0.1
Torquay United 0 Bromley 0	-3.1		-2.6		-0.0
Hartlepool United 2 Maidenhead United 4	+1.9		+1.6		+0.0
Stockport County 1 Dagenham & Redb 1	+1.5		+1.3		+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/15	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Stockport County vs Torquay United	-18.2-3.7+20.7		-15.1-3.1+17.3		-0.4+0.0+0.3
Maidenhead United vs Sutton United	+15.7+3.2-18.0		+13.1+2.6-15.0		+0.2+0.0-0.2
Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool United	+0.1+0.1-0.2		+0.1+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Torquay United finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	wins title		Promoted		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	Count

86		3	-	0	-	0	94.9	%	95.8	%	95	5																					12,063,846
84		2	-	1	-	0	78.5		82.0		78	22																					25,241,023
83		2	-	0	-	1	64.1		70.1		64	36																					36,104,315
82		1	-	2	-	0	54.1		61.7		54	46																					17,644,820
81		1	-	1	-	1	31.7		43.0		32	65	3																				50,467,968
80		1	-	0	-	2	16.6		30.5		17	76	7																				36,094,975
		0	-	3	-	0	20.9		34.1		21	79																					4,108,020
79		0	-	2	-	1	8.6		23.8		9	70	20	1																			17,644,601
78		0	-	1	-	2	1.5		17.9		2	52	44	2																			25,234,511
77		0	-	0	-	3	No		16.7			28	62	11																			12,063,317

Total:							37.5	%	47.9	%	37	51	11	1																			236,667,396

Points

Chance Will Win Championship