Thatcham Town Playoff Chances 2019-2020 50/50Beat Mangotsfield 4-0, playoff odds up 1.1 to 99.5% 58 points 18-4-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 3/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Premier Division South | 100.0* | Average seed | Mangotsfield 0 Thatcham Town 4 | +1.2 | | +10.9 | | +0.3 | | Slimbridge 1 Winchester City 2 | -0.2 | | -0.5 | | | | Cinderford Town 4 Totton 2 | -0.2 | | | | | | Melksham Town 2 Bideford 3 | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | | | Cirencester Town 4 Larkhall Athletic 0 | -0.1 | | +1.1 | | +0.0 | | Paulton Rovers 2 Frome Town 2 | +0.1 | | +1.9 | | +0.0 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Basingstoke Town vs Thatcham Town | -0.4+0.0+0.4 | | -9.4-2.0+11.1 | | -0.2-0.0+0.2 | | Mangotsfield vs Cirencester Town | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | *+0.1+0.2-0.2 | | | | Cinderford Town vs Sholing | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Premier Division South | 100.0* | Average seed | Thatcham Town vs Evesham United | +0.4+0.1-0.5 | | +11.2-2.1-9.5 | | +0.2-0.0-0.2 | | Totton vs Melksham Town | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | | | | Willand Rovers vs Cirencester Town | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1*+0.0-0.2 | | | | Winchester City vs Barnstaple Town | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.8+0.3+0.6 | | | | Larkhall Athletic vs Barnstaple Town | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | -1.0+0.3+0.7 | | | | Paulton Rovers vs Slimbridge | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | | | Bideford vs Cinderford Town | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1*+0.1-0.2 | | | | Sholing vs Paulton Rovers | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | | | Winchester City vs Cirencester Town | | | -0.7+0.4+0.4 | | | | Frome Town vs Moneyfields | | | -9.0+2.1+7.4 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Thatcham Town finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Premier | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Level 9 | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Division South | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Playoff | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 87 | -91 | | In | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,402 | * | 86 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 100.0 | % | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,112 | | 85 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 100.0 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,548 | * | 84 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 100.0 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 26,338 | | 83 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 43,922 | * | 82 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 99.7 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 70,585 | * | 81 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 99.3 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 118,662 | * | 80 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 98.2 | | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 85,907 | | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 98.9 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 82,207 | | 79 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 97.5 | | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 212,244 | * | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 96.4 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 26,046 | | 78 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 94.9 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 245,857 | | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | In | 96.3 | | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 80,415 | | 77 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | 92.7 | | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 245,665 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | 90.9 | | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 157,405 | * | 76 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | 87.2 | | 87 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 401,517 | | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 1 | In | 89.8 | | 90 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 54,736 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 5 | In | 84.7 | | 85 | 15 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 36,857 | | 75 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | In | 79.5 | | 80 | 20 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 369,756 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | In | 83.0 | | 83 | 17 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 203,014 | * | 74 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | In | 73.4 | | 73 | 26 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 410,426 | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 5 | In | 70.7 | | 71 | 29 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 205,669 | * | 73 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | In | 62.1 | | 62 | 37 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 501,415 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | In | 66.4 | | 66 | 33 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 109,591 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 6 | In | 57.9 | | 58 | 41 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 37,503 | * | 72 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | In | 48.7 | | 49 | 48 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 369,291 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | In | 53.6 | | 54 | 44 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 275,810 | * | 71 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | In | 39.5 | | 39 | 55 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 409,711 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 6 | In | 35.3 | | 35 | 57 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 150,150 | | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 2 | In | 44.1 | | 44 | 51 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 38,354 | * | 70 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | In | 26.5 | | 26 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 401,859 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | In | 30.3 | | 30 | 59 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 111,040 | * | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 100.0 | % | 22.5 | | 23 | 63 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 26,096 | | 69 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 100.0 | | 15.2 | | 15 | 61 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 245,672 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | In | 18.2 | | 18 | 61 | 19 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 209,129 | * | 68 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 100.0 | | 9.0 | | 9 | 55 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 245,550 | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 100.0 | | 8.3 | | 8 | 53 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 111,130 | * | 67 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | 3.6 | | 4 | 42 | 40 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 200,757 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | 4.4 | | 4 | 44 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 68,322 | * | 66 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 99.4 | | 1.1 | | 1 | 26 | 43 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 105,637 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 99.6 | | 1.6 | | 2 | 30 | 43 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 82,632 | * | 65 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 97.7 | | 0.4 | | 0 | 15 | 39 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 81,967 | | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 97.2 | | 0.3 | | 0 | 14 | 37 | 33 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 38,979 | * | 64 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 92.1 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 6 | 26 | 37 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 72,341 | * | 63 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 80.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,816 | * | 62 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 59.4 | | No | | 0 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,651 | * | 61 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 35.5 | | No | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,930 | * | 60 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 15.6 | | No | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 33 | 19 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,847 | | 59 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 10 | 3.6 | | No | | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 31 | 33 | 12 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 696 | | 58 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 11 | 0.9 | | No | | | | | 1 | 7 | 19 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 954 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 99.5 | % | 55.7 | % | 56 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 7,065,120 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |