How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Telford United 2 Brackley Town 1 +1.4
+2.1
-1.3
+0.8
Chorley 4 Southport 0 -0.3
-0.3
-0.1
Stockport County 1 Guiseley 1 +0.2
+0.2
Boston United 2 Nuneaton Town 1 -0.1
-0.1
Hereford 2 Leamington 1 -0.1
-0.1
Ashton United 0 York City 2 *+0.1
+0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Spennymoor Town 0 -0.1
*-0.1
Altrincham 1 FC United 2 *+0.1
+0.2
Darlington 1 Blyth Spartans 1 +0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
Week of 8/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Spennymoor Town 2 Telford United 3 +3.5
+4.5
-1.1
+1.2
Altrincham 0 Boston United 2 -0.3
-0.3
Chorley 1 Hereford 0 -0.2
-0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Stockport County 1 +0.1
+0.2
Leamington 2 Guiseley 2 +0.1
+0.1
York City 1 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chester vs Kidderminster H+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Telford United finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceNationalChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague12345678910111213141516171819202122DemotionCount
101-115YesYes100No181,755*
10026-3-399.7%99.7%1000No589*
9925-5-299.899.81000No1,232*
9825-4-399.299.3991No2,555*
9725-3-499.099.2991No5,209*
9624-5-398.398.6982No9,914*
9524-4-497.698.0982No18,414*
9423-6-396.797.29730No33,696*
9323-5-495.296.0955No60,433*
9223-4-593.694.79460No103,310*
9122-6-491.492.89190No175,195*
9022-5-588.890.789110No290,056*
8922-4-685.487.885150No466,254*
8821-6-581.684.782180No735,011*
8721-5-677.281.077230No1,133,404*
8620-7-572.276.8722800No1,710,167*
8520-6-666.672.26733100No2,520,304*
8420-5-760.667.1613910No3,643,932*
8319-7-654.361.9544420No5,153,304*
8219-6-747.756.44850300No7,138,086*
8119-5-841.050.94155400No9,692,870*
8018-7-734.445.434596000No12,890,695*
7918-6-828.140.128639000No16,811,277*
7817-8-722.235.2226413100No21,488,861*
7717-7-816.930.71764181000No26,924,911*
7617-6-912.326.91261242000No33,094,931*
7516-8-88.523.7857304000No39,880,490*
7416-7-95.521.2550368100No47,145,182*
7316-6-103.319.434241122000No54,623,483*
7215-8-91.818.2232441830000No62,121,298*
7115-7-100.917.4123432571000No69,294,968*
7014-9-90.417.001538321220000No75,815,597*
6914-8-100.116.80931351951000No81,375,050*
6814-7-110.016.7052235261020000No85,653,714*
6713-9-100.016.50214303117510000No88,435,701*
6613-8-110.016.10172232251130000No89,592,966*
6513-7-120.015.200313273019720000No88,969,925*
6412-9-110.013.4001618292614510000No86,696,902*
6312-8-120.010.600021022292211310000No82,822,953*
6212-7-13No7.10014132528198200000No77,587,290*
6111-9-12No3.80001616262616610000No71,233,292*
6011-8-13No1.60000271827251451000No64,131,195*
5911-7-14No0.50000292028231241000No56,572,032*
5810-9-13No0.1000013112228221030000No48,894,009*
5710-8-14No0.0000141324282082000No41,398,149*
5610-7-15No0.00000015152628187100000.0%34,348,027*
559-9-14No0.000001617272715510000.027,899,193*
549-8-15NoNo0000282029251230000.022,176,457*
538-10-14NoNo0000310233022920000.017,251,821*
528-9-15NoNo0001413262919610000.113,130,737*
518-8-16NoNo000161829281440000.59,774,279*
507-10-15NoNo00002923312492001.87,106,421*
497-9-16NoNo00014142831175105.45,056,659*
487-8-17NoNo00017213226112012.43,508,362*
476-10-16NoNo0003122833195023.52,375,357*
466-9-17NoNo00162134279137.81,569,301*
456-8-18NoNo000313313416353.21,010,152*
445-10-17NoNo0017243725667.7633,768*
435-9-18NoNo00031736331079.4386,786*
425-8-19NoNo0011032401788.0230,202*
415-7-20NoNo01625442493.5131,949*
404-9-19NoNo00318453496.973,491*
394-8-20NoNo0113434398.640,182*
384-7-21NoNo018385499.421,277*
373-9-20NoNo005326399.810,694*
363-8-21NoNo02257299.85,305*
353-7-22NoNo12079Yes2,491*
342-9-21NoNo11485Yes1,129*
332-8-22NoNo01287Yes474*
322-7-23NoNo1891Yes196*
312-6-24NoNo199Yes76*
301-8-23NoNo991Yes22*
19-29NoNo100Yes181,303*
Total:3.2%14.0%313141210976544322211100000.2%1,603,456,672

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship